Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 9, 2020

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Tue Apr 30 21:12:39 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These tiers reflect (IMO) the likelihood of winning the nomination. But they also more or less match the polling. Sanders is nominally higher than the other 1c candidates, but not much higher, and he has the highest name recognition in that group and is underperforming in IA/NH. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As the chart says, don't take this *too* seriously, but I feel more strongly than usual about the order of the candidates. Biden is in a tier by himself. Then Harris, Sanders, Buttigieg and Warren are in the next tier—not clear in which order. https://t.co/gQyInJH3Aj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a badly misinformed tweet. CNN polled voters of all ages. They didn't list the crosstabs for some groups because the sample sizes were small and people tend to overinterpet crosstabs in those cases. — PolitiTweet.org

Love to exclude literally all respondents aged 18-49 in my presidential polling @CNN https://t.co/scM4ppvYRu

Posted April 30, 2019 Hibernated