Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2020

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Mon Apr 29 02:29:07 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor IMO there's no particular reason to think voters will be more focused on the economy as you get closer (especially for a president like Trump who's not very focused, period). A better theory is probably that an *improving* economy should *improve* a president's approval ratings. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems like if you have a "Trump's gonna win in the landslide because of the economy" prediction you have to work a little harder to explain how that's gonna work when his approval rating is 41% now despite a really good economy. — PolitiTweet.org

Opinion: The 2020 election isn’t going to be close https://t.co/ucqFeh0LwS

Posted April 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @davidshor Job approval is definitely not a "fundamental", but the fundamentals models that don't use job approval as a crutch basically do no better than random: https://t.co/uzhRzj9s2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2019 Hibernated