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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2020

Created

Sat Apr 27 18:42:37 +0000 2019

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668

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104

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie currently leads Trump by 3-4 points in the poll average. That's not bad; better than any Dem other than Biden, who leads by ~7. But it's not much of a lead (same as Hillary in 16!) & easy to see it declining as he gets more scrutiny, both from other Dems and from Fox News. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

From a tactical standpoint, I *think* I like it that Bernie's campaign is trying to shape a narrative around electability, just because if you don't shape the narrative, the media does instead, and that's usually worse. With that said, it's pretty risky in some respects. — PolitiTweet.org

Katherine Miller @katherinemiller

Bernie's campaign manager today: "My friends, you are going to see a wave — a wave up and down the Democratic ballo… https://t.co/SvQj1MUcAm

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. General election polls aren't really very (if at all) meaningful or predictive this far out; to the extent campaigns treat them as salient, however—as Sanders's campaign has—they invite some challenging news cycles if the numbers turn in an unfavorable direction later on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated

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