Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2020

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Sat Apr 27 16:34:37 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@tangotiger @IneffectiveMath @MoneyPuckdotcom @domluszczyszyn @36Hobbit @mchernos @matt_barlowe I'm not sure that 2 works because there's a point at which if a model is *extremely* different from the betting line, you might become *less* inclined to bet it because the chance goes up that (i) the betting line accounts for some factor you're missing or (ii) your model is bad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess the math is pretty simple here. Toronto won 58 regular season games, but that was with Kawhi sitting out 22 games, Lowry missing 17, and Gasol (who the advanced metrics like a lot better than Valanciunas) only playing 26. Fully healthy, they're like a ~65-68 win team. — PolitiTweet.org

Our projections reallllly like the Raptors, which I'd feel about if our projections didn't also really like the Rap… https://t.co/v9oeLtTSmP

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

From a tactical standpoint, I *think* I like it that Bernie's campaign is trying to shape a narrative around electability, just because if you don't shape the narrative, the media does instead, and that's usually worse. With that said, it's pretty risky in some respects. — PolitiTweet.org

Bernie's campaign manager today: "My friends, you are going to see a wave — a wave up and down the Democratic ballo… https://t.co/SvQj1MUcAm

Posted April 27, 2019 Hibernated