Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 28, 2019

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Wed Apr 24 12:57:30 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You have to adjust for name recognition, though. Biden, at just south of 30 percent, is still something like a 2:1 underdog. And Bernie's position at 20 percent, as I wrote yesterday, is tenable but not great. https://t.co/jwSd8Y2m77 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

#Actually, early presidential primary polls are fairly predictive. https://t.co/shq57xJZGj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per the chart above, Buttigieg's position is roughly as good as Bernie's on a "polls only" basis, or maybe a bit better. Empirically, you'd slightly prefer to be polling at ~10% with low name recognition than ~20% with high name recognition. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2019 Hibernated