Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 23, 2019

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Mon Apr 22 17:10:51 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Yeah, that's bad. But her numbers have been surprisingly bad in NH for a while now and it's a small sample (n=241). I think the Buttigieg surge is the news since that's been consistent across multiple polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also out today, a new New Hampshire poll with much better numbers for Bernie than what we've been seeing in other early-state polls recently. But it also shows Buttigieg surging into a strong 3rd place. https://t.co/SiMi9VSqjn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

UNH is bouncy in part because it tends to use a small sample size. But while there have been good and bad polls for Sanders, Biden etc. lately, the Buttigieg surge is pretty consistent. He's at 14% (IA), 15% (NH), 17% (US) in the last 3 polls we've added. https://t.co/QRGSHTXJHi — PolitiTweet.org

worth noting: the UNH poll is NOTORIOUSLY bouncy, and a frequent target of grumbling from operatives in both parties https://t.co/NCqkX88LMP

Posted April 22, 2019 Hibernated