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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2019

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Wed Apr 17 15:25:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sanders is getting a ton of news coverage (more cable coverage than Warren, Beto and Harris combined last week), and is often being described as the frontrunner when he isn't based on polls (Biden is quite a bit ahead of Bernie in national and Iowa polling averages; NH is close). — PolitiTweet.org

Richard Skinner @richardmskinner

Isn’t the Nth article saying that “you should take Bernie Sanders seriously as a potential nominee” a sign that peo… https://t.co/jFkJEHHhTh

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @daveweigel The more straightforward interpretation is that the tax cut was really unpopular, especially some of the early drafts the Republicans circulated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general*, the media tends to overcorrect from past "mistakes" & has a lot of recency bias, so other things equal you might expect Bernie's chances to be overrated this time since he's perceived as having been underrated last time. * Not sure if this dynamic applies to Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated