Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2019

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Sun Apr 14 19:04:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol Or to be more direct, I think a slightly less "electable" nominee chosen through the primaries would be more likely to win the general election than a slightly more electable one chosen at the convention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol Let's say Bernie Sanders wins 40% of delegates, Kamala Harris wins 35%, others have 25%. Polls show a slim majority of Democrats prefer Harris head-to-head and she's tended to gain ground late in the race. I think that's a total nightmare for Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview What makes it unlikely? Maybe this *exact* scenarios is unlikely, but scenarios *like* these seem highly plausible to me, where multiple candidates have a credible claim on the nomination. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2019 Hibernated