Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Wed Apr 10 22:52:30 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn I think I am pretty bullish on Bernie. I wanna see your tiers though! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't have particularly strong feelings about the order of the candidates after that, but I suppose I'd go: Tier 3a: Castro, Gillibrand, Inslee Tier 3b: Yang, Hickenlooper, Ryan Tier 4: Everyone else Abrams would be at least Tier 2 if she ran. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Folks asking why I had Biden in a higher tier than Sanders; the main reason is that Biden's polling is quite a bit better. Empirically, candidates with very high name recognition who poll at ~20% (Bernie) don't do so well. ~30% (Biden) is more formidable. https://t.co/7VxAZp31m7 — PolitiTweet.org

Corrected: Name id is highly correlated with polling right now, but I think it's noteworthy a. Biden/Sanders have s… https://t.co/2a2mygeaoa

Posted April 11, 2019 Hibernated