Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Wed Apr 10 12:57:41 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen This is consistent with my theory that Democrats doing well at the midterms was bad for Biden since it likely increased their risk tolerance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So one answer to "why are the white guys polling so well when Democrats are so diverse?" is that voters see them as more "electable". But that may change as voters learn more about the other candidates & they win primaries, etc. (Also, sorry for it's/its typo in 1st post. 😳) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Yeah, and I think Democrats are very scarred/scared by 2016. So I don't think the electability premium is going away. I do think people have a lot of priors about it based on race/gender that they may revise later, though. Hence I actually see this as a bit bearish for Biden. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2019 Hibernated