Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Mon Apr 08 22:35:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The odds are that if Sanders wins—entirely possible!—he does it by slogging out a relatively narrow Electoral College victory over an unpopular incumbent president, winning *most* of the same voters that any other Dem would. There are other scenarios, but that's the base case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like others, I don't get this strategically or substantively from Bernie. The most obvious explanation not hugely flattering, which is that he seems to believe in a Green Latern presidency in which his election would signal a Revolution(!) in which Everything Was Different. — PolitiTweet.org

.@BernieSanders on getting rid of the filibuster: "Donald Trump supports the ending of the filibuster. So you shoul… https://t.co/gL3jkKypZb

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obama and Trump were also—in some ways—revolutionary. But both were highly constrained by checks-and-balances, and (immediately for Trump, later on for Obama) their unpopularity. What could have changed things? Obama would have been much less constrained without the filibuster. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated