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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 12, 2019

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Thu Apr 04 21:25:29 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Technically speaking, our elections forecasts have been a bit *under-confident*, meaning favorites have won a bit M… https://t.co/0sZJf3h86u — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, we published an interactive today that basically looks at every probabilistic forecast that FiveThirtyEight has ever made (dating back to 2008). Here's what we found: When we say 70 percent, it *really does* mean 70 percent. https://t.co/FB89fcLAzF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's the interactive itself. Obviously, there are lots of ways to criticize 538. But some of the more philosophic… https://t.co/n1aoSBMRld — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2019 Hibernated