Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 12, 2019

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Wed Mar 20 14:34:44 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. I definitely don't think Beto is at that 3/4 point yet, although several of the other candidates aren't either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sure (B) is better than (A). But maybe being 3/4 of the way to (B)—"here are my principles and priors but we'll fill out some details as we learn more, including about political constraints"—is also better than (B). It's what most people would do when taking e.g. a new CEO job. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You should look at the tipping point states rather than the closest states, which are indeed gonna be pretty simila… https://t.co/ioqgWU7nCk — PolitiTweet.org

Anti-Electoral College folks say that the E.C. means "the same swing states get all the attention" But are they "t… https://t.co/lbFHo1tFiK

Posted March 20, 2019 Hibernated