Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2019

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Thu Mar 14 21:27:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The argument that Democrats have a high likelihood* of a contested convention is quite simple and straightforward, and I don't find the rebuttals to it very convincing at all. * "High" doesn't necessarily mean >50%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@smotus Wrong, buddy. Not only was it a good take, but your attempted takedown of my take was bad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1a. There are a ton of candidates. 1b. The number of candidates is predictive of what share of the vote the top candidates receive. 2. Democratic rules—in contrast the past—are set up such that unless someone gets close to 50% of the *vote*, they can't win on the first ballot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2019 Hibernated