Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 6, 2019

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Wed Mar 13 13:55:34 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Does that mean that Biden and Bernie's chances are underrated? Biden: Yeah, maybe, a bit. I think people on Twitter definitely underrate his chances. Maybe not in betting markets (which give him a ~25% chance), though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Early polls are meaningless" is a MYTH. They actually tell us quite a bit. https://t.co/QwamSfyytN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie: More complicated. Favorables not as strong as Biden & there's a BIG difference between where he was polling pre-announcement (~20%) and where he is now (25-30%)—historically an inflection point between "paper tiger" and "legitimate frontrunner". Can he sustain his bounce? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2019 Hibernated