Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 6, 2019

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Mon Mar 11 16:35:57 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BillKristol @ComfortablySmug Nonsnarkily, Gore would actually be an interesting choice in those circumstances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd note that this data comes from polls in July-December in the year before the election, i.e. 2-7 months before Iowa. It's even earlier now—11 months before—so the polls are even noisier. If Biden were to hold at ~30% through late this year, that would be a bit more formidable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2019 Deleted Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PatrickRuffini @sissenberg Turnout in Texas was up 80% (!!!!!!!) from 2014, so it's hard for me to buy a story that Beto didn't have a big effect on turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2019 Hibernated