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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 6, 2019

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Fri Mar 08 19:52:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not counting Trump, 10 presidents have been elected to a first term with a popular vote margin of <3 points. Only 2… https://t.co/6ZANaZfXfz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The heuristic "incumbents usually get re-elected" (and models which rely on this assumption) isn't that useful for… https://t.co/4Rg6sYgYMO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not a large sample, but if you look at areas where you *do* have lots of data, e.g. in races for governor or… https://t.co/nwMNshOgku — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2019 Hibernated