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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 15, 2019

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Fri Nov 02 14:07:53 +0000 2018

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probabilistic election forecasting isn't new anymore. 538 has issued literally thousands of forecasts. Historically… https://t.co/wuR7GxtJ4A — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not complicated: you look at a **reasonably large sample** of elections to see if forecasts were well-calibrat… https://t.co/DPAizd1Ixa — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Burns @alexburnsNYT

@billscher One other issue: how do you assess the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts in specific races when you on… https://t.co/SvrCtfi6OP

Posted Nov. 2, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So what if a candidate with a supposedly 1% chance wins. Can you say the forecast was "wrong"? That's complicated… https://t.co/0W3rSFEUlH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2018 Hibernated