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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 2, 2019

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Tue Oct 23 13:48:44 +0000 2018

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Either poll a battleground state/district or 3, or poll the whole country. Polls of "battleground districts" just… https://t.co/sg7y8NtJPY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To simplify a LOT: 1. The old view was that midterm elections were mostly about mean-reversion and balancing power.… https://t.co/gBVaGd8fPS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Great thread. I'd also add: 6. In many states, there's a "tradition" in which one party turns out more strongly in… https://t.co/0rlT0m6XmW — PolitiTweet.org

Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot

5. Polls account for early voters anyway, so it's double-counting to mentally "add" Democrats' early-vote advantage… https://t.co/pxzbUQtFMu

Posted Oct. 23, 2018 Hibernated