Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 28, 2019

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Fri Oct 19 14:21:55 +0000 2018

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Redistrict So it's a little bit of everything. But prior victory margin is probably the most important. If you won… https://t.co/Y2vtcbSgrB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Redistrict So those are pretty similar cases, actually. —Incumbent won by underwhelming margin in 2016. —Challenge… https://t.co/t8gKpPTMD5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2018 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Redistrict Fair. And we don't adjust prior margin for challenger strength (other than for type of race, e.g. open-… https://t.co/8tyCOReMZh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2018 Hibernated