Zack Beauchamp

@zackbeauchamp ↗

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Last Checked June 2, 2022

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Fri May 06 14:51:12 +0000 2022

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@CharlesFLehman Hm the wording is tricky here. Maybe something like $50 on "a decision fully overturning Roe would cause an identifiable shift of at least 1.5 points in the national House vote to Democrats." The more the points figure goes up, the less money I'd bet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2022

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@AdamSerwer It's possible you're right, of course. My strongest view on the matter is that we're about to be in an unprecedented situation which is, by its nature, unpredictable. But I think there will be a push for total bans — IIRC 11 states have ones that'll come into force automatically — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2022

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@jduffyrice @AdamSerwer a key part of my theory is that roe v. wade is uniquely salient, and overturning it wholesale and unequivocally would have an effect on public opinion no more other policy change could. this could very well be wrong, it's just where my head is at. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2022