Judd Legum

@JuddLegum ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 29, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 18:57:37 +0000 2020

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

7. Biden's (narrow) national lead is predicated on people who have not paid a ton of attention to the race so far. If the first thing they hear tuning in is that Biden's campaign is in a tailspin, it creates a negative feedback loop — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

6. Biden hasn't done a great job managing expectations in Iowa. Biden is talking about winning or perhaps finishing second. If that happens, he'll be fine. But a fourth-place finish, which seems at least possible, could be devastating. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

8. Ultimately, I think this is what Bloomberg is betting will happen. The he will be the last "moderate" standing and use fear of Sanders/Warren + hundreds of millions in ads to suck up delegates. Seems like a longshot but I think that's his strategy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated