Judd Legum

@JuddLegum ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 29, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 18:56:39 +0000 2020

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

6. Biden hasn't done a great job managing expectations in Iowa. Biden is talking about winning or perhaps finishing second. If that happens, he'll be fine. But a fourth-place finish, which seems at least possible, could be devastating. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

5. Candidates that run on electability are particularly vulnerable to a performance in Iowa that does not meet expectations. Clinton won 15 delegates in Iowa to Obama's 16. But the subsequent coverage generated a wave of negative press that she could never fully overcome — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

7. Biden's (narrow) national lead is predicated on people who have not paid a ton of attention to the race so far. If the first thing they hear tuning in is that Biden's campaign is in a tailspin, it creates a negative feedback loop — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated