Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 19, 2023

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Fri Sep 09 17:13:24 +0000 2022

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Something that happens a lot is I see something like this where Waller is expressing too much certainty and in my gut I want to overcorrect and say he definitely wrong. The truth is that it’s a bit hard to say. — PolitiTweet.org

"The policy rate will have to move meaningfully above this neutral level to further restrain aggregate demand and p… https://t.co/xxdBFI7u2S

Posted Sept. 9, 2022 Hibernated

Preceded By

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

It really is good practice to try to write down specific forecasts and check back — almost all of us are much worse at predicting things than we like to think and confronting yourself with your own wrongness is a real learning experience. — PolitiTweet.org

A certain set of folks on here histrionically predicted that Covid-era public health restrictions would remain in f… https://t.co/0rphzZssS3

Posted Sept. 9, 2022 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Some sources of uncertainty: — What happens with food/energy commodities? — How does whatever happens there feed into core prices? — How does it feed into expectations? — How much can the prime-age labor force expand? — How reliable is job opening data as an indicator? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2022 Hibernated