Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 31, 2020

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Thu Nov 12 15:49:10 +0000 2020

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The problem Dems face in 2022 is Republicans are going to get to re-optimize their gerrymanders which at this point are a little rusty. So the exact same distribution of votes would deliver more R seat gains. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

But isn’t this just because the polls were off the whole time? Generic ballot average had it D+7.3 if that’s off by four then you get D+3.3 which would lead you to predict GOP gains relative to the huge D+8 blue wave in 2018. — PolitiTweet.org

The performance put in by the GOP House candidates is nothing short of ridiculously good given expectations. Sets t… https://t.co/o71uhsBTM7

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Everything about 2020 feels differently if you assume Democrats really did have that giant poll lead and then “blew it” versus if it’s just that Republicans were down by a modest amount the whole time and never found a way to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated