Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Tue May 05 01:34:09 +0000 2020

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@NateSilver538 Of course if you feed it *two* months worth of death data, you get this instead. https://t.co/AhQKq8codg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

If you put the last 30 days’ worth of death data into Excel and then use the “add trendline” function, specify a third-order polynomial, and project forward 30 days into the future you get a sharp decline in deaths starting arounf May 15. (Cc @NateSilver538) https://t.co/myQQVdxmPM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@NateSilver538 On this second, more dire “model” the pandemic does end, and is even showing extremely rapid improvement on Election Day but many millions of people die in the interim. https://t.co/lQWwsv1P5m — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated