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Cameron Joseph

@cam_joseph ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 16:55:39 +0000 2020

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

This is a bad misunderstanding. What NYT is saying is if polls are as off as '16 in ONE DIRECTION, Trump would win. They could be off! But frankly it's a myth that they were off that much in '16, people just missed what they were saying: https://t.co/Ztimbikntb — PolitiTweet.org

Nathan J Robinson @NathanJRobinson

Ok this is pretty huge: the NYT says that if polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump will win. This means we… https://t.co/Qplz68XCTr

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@ibalkhy the polls moved a lot in the last week after the Comey October surprise in '16. There were few good state polls so we didn't see how fast the race was moving before election day. Polls are a snapshot of recent past moods not a projection to the future. https://t.co/Ztimbikntb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

I'm not saying at all that Biden should feel comfy. Lotsa factors this year that make polling esp. hard — potential mail vote problems, how people will vote in a pandemic, all the chaos that could be stirred by actors foreign & domestic. But 'the polls are wrong!' is dumb. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated