Cameron Joseph

@cam_joseph ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2021

Created

Fri Sep 18 16:53:23 +0000 2020

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@ibalkhy the polls moved a lot in the last week after the Comey October surprise in '16. There were few good state polls so we didn't see how fast the race was moving before election day. Polls are a snapshot of recent past moods not a projection to the future. https://t.co/Ztimbikntb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

tl;dr is the Trump campaign is trimming ad spending in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the three states that put him over the top in 2016. He needs to win at least one to win reelection. Florida, North Carolina and Arizona are icing on the cake for Biden if he sweeps them. — PolitiTweet.org

Helpful chart by ⁦@Ad_Analytics⁩ showing where the Trump campaign has added (green) and cut (gray) advertising in t… https://t.co/L1oWBykqVz

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

This is a bad misunderstanding. What NYT is saying is if polls are as off as '16 in ONE DIRECTION, Trump would win. They could be off! But frankly it's a myth that they were off that much in '16, people just missed what they were saying: https://t.co/Ztimbikntb — PolitiTweet.org

Ok this is pretty huge: the NYT says that if polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump will win. This means we… https://t.co/Qplz68XCTr

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated