(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Oct. 19, 2020

Created

Tue Sep 22 21:32:57 +0000 2020

Likes

159

Retweets

Source

Mobile Web (M2)

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So say the average lead in a state is 3 points... And a lot of polls have state polls have margins of error of +/- 4.5 (approximately)... You could/should get results ranging from the leader up double digits to down by like 5 pts! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020

Preceded By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One thing I find consistently is that folks don't know the margin of error applies to the individual candidates and not the margin. Approximately, you double the stated MoE to get it for the margin... This means most polls in a close race show an inside the MoE result. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020

Followed By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Such a spread in the numbers isn't the sign of an outlier... It's the sign of pollsters doing their jobs... It's also often a sign that we're getting a lot of data from a state... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020