(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Tue Sep 22 21:31:12 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One thing I find consistently is that folks don't know the margin of error applies to the individual candidates and not the margin. Approximately, you double the stated MoE to get it for the margin... This means most polls in a close race show an inside the MoE result. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Here's a video I did on Florida... There really isn't any battleground state quite like it. It looks & votes more like the the nation than pretty much any other state that has competitive elections. https://t.co/mTjp2nnqb1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So say the average lead in a state is 3 points... And a lot of polls have state polls have margins of error of +/- 4.5 (approximately)... You could/should get results ranging from the leader up double digits to down by like 5 pts! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020