(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked July 22, 2020

Created

Tue Jul 14 14:19:06 +0000 2020

Likes

110

Retweets

Source

Mobile Web (M2)

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In fact, most political races we watch are within that 95% CI. A Biden win, by almost every metric I know, is the more likely probability. But we still have 4 months to go. We'd expect Trump to win more often than we see an outlier poll. https://t.co/KkmSASmu1h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020

Preceded By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I've found that some folks generally don't "understand" odds. No doubt Biden is the favorite for November, but forecasting out the race... We can say a Trump win is within the true margin of error (i.e. 95% confidence interval). https://t.co/KkmSASmu1h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020

Followed By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I see something similar... But wanna see more data for making too big a thing of it... https://t.co/hLqfwmwdgU https://t.co/p0cPVkspwV — PolitiTweet.org

We haven't had very many live interview polls yet in July, but it does seem to me that almost all of the online dat… https://t.co/ztjFdTa8ac

Posted July 14, 2020