(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked July 22, 2020

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Tue Jul 14 14:15:59 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I've found that some folks generally don't "understand" odds. No doubt Biden is the favorite for November, but forecasting out the race... We can say a Trump win is within the true margin of error (i.e. 95% confidence interval). https://t.co/KkmSASmu1h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Between that troll map saying the Bills were the most loved sports team in NY State and this Lou Saban comment, it's been a banner day for #billsmafia Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In fact, most political races we watch are within that 95% CI. A Biden win, by almost every metric I know, is the more likely probability. But we still have 4 months to go. We'd expect Trump to win more often than we see an outlier poll. https://t.co/KkmSASmu1h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2020