(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Sat May 16 14:34:54 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Trump supporters are far more enthusiastic about their guy than Biden's are about him. The candidate with the more enthusiastic supporters has won every presidential election since 1988 (i.e. as far back as the data goes). https://t.co/3SiQoheZPo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

There's so much good stuff in this thread, but I think this is so key. Many folks are in the middle on keeping shutdowns vs. opening back up. They want some opening up but not a "let's go back to the way it was." — PolitiTweet.org

Americans say 67% to 21%, state stay-at-home orders are the right decision. In another question, 30% want to see t… https://t.co/OO5ZwsrgIW

Posted May 16, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This comes with big league caveats, however, which I don't often see discussed. Not the least of which is enthusiasm does NOT equal votes. If you're ahead by 5 in the final polls, that's far more predictive of the outcome than any enthusiasm edge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2020