(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Thu Apr 23 15:08:07 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn It's a good question... On the median yes from my calculations. At least in terms of senior population. Enough to cause a dramatic shift? Probably not. But it could also some swing states are in Covid hotspots. As for the 15... I have timeline & a large enough sample... BUT (!) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This comes as the polling has shown that the age breakdowns in polls seem to be shifting with Biden doing much better among seniors... If those polls are right, it would make sense that there would be some shifting in state data relative to national. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn I welcome in more information and view this as preliminary, not definitive... FWIW, it does seem as you shrink down the battleground, Trump seems to do better... but the sample size (especially with national data) shrinks too, so it's harder to pick out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020