(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Thu Apr 23 14:59:19 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We can create battleground crosstabs by compiling national poll data. I did that. It's an imperfect metric, but it can be a signal. In 15 closest states from 2016, Biden had been doing ~5 pts worse in battlegrounds (pre-Covid) than nationally. Since? 2 pts better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Yes, we saw those Fox polls in MI/PA, where Biden did better than his long term averages in either state... and it's backed up by other state polls over the same period... but it's more than that... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This comes as the polling has shown that the age breakdowns in polls seem to be shifting with Biden doing much better among seniors... If those polls are right, it would make sense that there would be some shifting in state data relative to national. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020