Tim Urban

@waitbutwhy ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked April 3, 2023

Created

Fri Feb 10 21:26:17 +0000 2023

Likes

9

Retweets

0

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

@BillyM2k fwiw, my friend is INSISTENT that I'm wrong — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2023

Preceded By

Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

1/2. Do the experiment 200 times. You'd pick a blue ~100 times, and half of those times it would be from a blue/blue box. Put differently, of the 200 picks, 50 would be from BB boxes (50 blue picks), 100 from RB boxes (50B, 50R), 50 from RR boxes (50R). So the answer is 1/2. — PolitiTweet.org

@waitbutwhy There are 1000 boxes: 250 with two blue marbles in each, 250 with two blue marbles in each, and 500 wit… https://t.co/WafrcGNJIs

Posted Feb. 10, 2023

Followed By

Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

@BillyM2k But the original premise matters. If instead of Mr. Smith being seen randomly, there was a town hall meeting for the 750 families with at least one boy, then each family has a 1/3 chance of having 2 boys. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2023