Tim Urban

@waitbutwhy ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 1, 2023

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Tue Nov 22 20:20:46 +0000 2022

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Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

RT @waitbutwhy: So hard to stay on the tightrope. https://t.co/AiUN37c0Ug — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Retweet

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Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

If @FiveThirtyEight predicts 10 elections to be 60/40 and the favorite wins all 10 times, that’s not a perfect record. A perfect record is if the favorite wins 6 times and the underdog wins 4. But if that happened people would still call them out on “being wrong” those 4 times. — PolitiTweet.org

Well you check for calibration — if someone makes a lot of predictions, then about 4-out-10 of the times they say s… https://t.co/0gfBbDXy10

Posted Nov. 22, 2022

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Tim Urban @waitbutwhy

Where is everybody — PolitiTweet.org

This is an animated representation of all the multi-planet systems discovered in the Milky Way galaxy by NASA Keple… https://t.co/Q7ClTRlunB

Posted Nov. 22, 2022