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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @EmmaMAshford: Not the politest way to say this, but: the unipolar moment broke brains by convincing folks US military power could do an… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 9 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

One wonders if this had something to do with Putin’s nuclear saber-rattling, to erase any Western temptation to land cruise missiles on the war-crimes-in-waiting traffic jam outside Kyiv — PolitiTweet.org

Shashank Joshi @shashj

Russia may be botching its invasion so far, but plenty of mass en route. The Russian convoy which “stretches over n… https://t.co/Ofqa9fcBGH

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Deleted after 9 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @CNN: Russian billionaires Mikhail Fridman and Oleg Deripaska have broken ranks with the Kremlin and called for an end to Russia's war i… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 19 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @edwardfishman: (5) This is a sanctions action without precedent. As a result, the specific consequences aren't easy to predict with a h… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @ggatehouse: Putin’s genius over the past two decades has been to turn himself into the structural institution through which power is ex… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 5 months
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @EvansRyan202: Reports of the death of the international order were greatly exaggerated — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 5 months
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @RALee85: It is clear many soldiers don't know what the goal of this war is, so they don't know how to respond to civilians or what sort… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2022 Retweet Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Months of preparation and the supposed world grandmaster in information warfare came up with an easily falsified instagram spoof — PolitiTweet.org

Tim Mak @timkmak

Mayor of Kyiv: "today [Russia] created a clone of my Instagram... Russian internet media was sharing information qu… https://t.co/dYZZukezEk

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @shashj: Kharkiv. “An advance guard column…had come within 450m of the city’s statue to a Ukrainian national hero and poet, Taras Schevc… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 20 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

For more, see this very smart @russianforces thread on what Putin's nuclear announcement means on a technical level. It's not a step toward premeditated nuclear war. https://t.co/NniwSBrcgU — PolitiTweet.org

Pavel Podvig @russianforces

What is this "special mode of combat duty of the deterrence forces"? Hard to tell with certainty, but most likely i… https://t.co/1Y7qrPnuog

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

So what does all this mean? Putin is not insane; he is not going to deliberately start a nuclear war. Rather, the main risk is a freak accident or miscalculation that sets either side hurtling toward last-ditch "defensive" strikes in error — very unlikely, but not impossible. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Total nuclear annihilation was avoided in 1983 only because a Soviet air defense officer, Stanislav Petrov, refused to transmit his early warning to Moscow for fear that his equipment might be faulty. It was, and Petrov averted a total nuclear war by lucky guesswork. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

False launch detections have happened. In 1983, amid a moment of high US-Soviet tensions, a Soviet early warning station detected massive American missile launches. Moscow had feared exactly such a decapitation strike, seemingly now minutes from landing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Technological advances mean that both sides can now land devastating nuclear strikes within minutes. This forces extremely short response times: if Moscow believes it's detected a launch, it might have only 15 mins to decide whether to retaliate before its forces are obliterated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

The second major scenario for unintended nuclear escalation is if one side believes that the other is about to, or has already, launched a full nuclear strike. This is both the less likely and more concerning possibility. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

This is why careful signaling by Western govts is so important. The West is rapidly building up its deterrence forces in NATO countries bordering Russia/Belarus. It's not too far from those borders to Moscow, so clarity of intentions is a matter of global life-and-death. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

NATO has no desire to topple the Kremlin by force (nuclear deterrent, etc) so Moscow would only believe this was coming if it misread some surprise or accidental escalation – say, a skirmish across the Belarus-Poland border – as cover for, or the start of, an attack on Moscow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

The first is that Moscow believes it is about to face an overwhelming conventional attack from NATO that will decapitate the Russian govt and can only be repelled through nuclear strikes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

With Putin's nuclear escalation today, the odds of nuclear conflict remain very small but are rising slightly. The greatest risk isn't a premeditated nuclear attack, which both sides know would be catastrophic. Rather, there are two scenarios for a possible nuclear exchange. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @Max_Fisher: The odds of an unintended or accidental escalation to NATO-Russia conflict, perhaps nuclear, are not high, but they’re not… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 7 hours
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @KofmanMichael: The simple take away might be that the Russian military is getting frustrated, etc. but I also don't think we've quite j… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2022 Retweet Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

The odds of an unintended or accidental escalation to NATO-Russia conflict, perhaps nuclear, are not high, but they’re not zero, and they’re growing. — PolitiTweet.org

Hanna Liubakova @HannaLiubakova

Brest, #Belarus, a few kilometers from the border with Poland, the NATO country. All equipment is marked with the l… https://t.co/iHYy8kfbcc

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @SominiSengupta: By the inimitable @lynseyaddario — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 5 months
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Hard to imagine a better outcome for Ukraine than Russia converting its $631bn sovereign wealth fund to bored ape NFTs or some other super-volatile tech bro ponzi scheme — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Stamos @alexstamos

Legitimate cryptocurrency companies need to be planning right now for what happens if Russia gets kicked off of SWI… https://t.co/MthYXI9f56

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Deleted after a month
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

4.3k RTs and 16.6k likes for the keyboard commando war fantasy, 0 RTs and 5 likes for the explanation of why it would be ineffective and dangerous https://t.co/SSwmHEB3lm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Deleted after 2 minutes
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @drewhinshaw: I’m at Poland’s border of Medyka, I asked five people from west and central Africa, none described having any problems bey… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 5 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

2 lessons from the past 24hrs: (1) Russia facing far harder time than it expected on every front: military, diplomatic, especially domestic (2) Russia still capable of & intent on taking Kiev to force regime change Unclear what bearing 1 has on 2. Maybe a lot. Maybe not enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2022 Deleted after 12 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

I understand the appeal of calling for sanctions targeting just Putin and his cronies/oligarchs. But the world already tried this, in 2014, and it just made the oligarchs more reliant on Putin. The Russian state is their piggybank and its resources are vast. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2022 Deleted after 5 months
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

RT @davidalexander5: Putin’s Case for War, Annotated For the second time in days, President Vladimir V. Putin addressed Russians about his… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 13 days
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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

There is now a real, live question as to whether Vladimir Putin is still a rational actor. It’s being asked by diplomats, Russia experts, and IR scholars. I don’t claim to know the answer, but the implications of it even being asked are hard to overstate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 24, 2022 Deleted after 5 months