Zack Beauchamp

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

There has been a lot of speculation on whether the Ukraine war could end with Putin's downfall. Here's what the best evidence we have says about how that could happen — and whether it's likely https://t.co/NNi0I7vlnf — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

Fascinating new working paper from @laiabalcells and @SKalyvas, one of the deans of civil war research https://t.co/aYj9kCzqsW — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @EmmaMAshford: I'm seeing the term genocide & the phrase "never again" used more in the context of Ukraine. I understand why they're bei… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @mikejason73: Thread from a solid strategist and thinker. I am not sure I agree in who has the proverbial time, but he is right in that… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @YasminMSNBC: Coming up today at 3pm and 4pm ET on @MSNBC: @yasminv is joined by @MattMCBradley @AnastasiaRadina @ellisonbarber @RepGa… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

"the continued pattern of activity suggests a more significant conclusion: that the [Russian air force] lacks the institutional capacity to plan, brief and fly complex air operations at scale" https://t.co/ahMbzGwkaU — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@ChristophLyon @smsaideman I can't speak to Steve, because I didn't ask him, but virtually every expert on insurgencies I have spoken with said it is not only likely in the event of a Ukrainian conventional defeat but practically an inevitability — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @TiagoDF: “Ukraine is going to lose unless something happens in Russian domestic politics,” says @smsaideman, an expert on NATO at Carle… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@drfarls No Fly Zone so green Ukrainian troops equipped with Stingers can accidentally shoot down NATO aircraft — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

I find it weird how people seem to forget that Ukraine is also on our planet, which would be devastated by a US-Russia nuclear exchange — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

In the academic and think worlds, very few fields are as gender-coded as war studies. It's really easy — I've done it myself — to only quote male experts, the manly men who know about guns and bombs. Don't do this! Consult https://t.co/fwiFekNilz — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

The reason Mearsheimer-style analysis seems so far off is that he’s approaching an IKEA set with one bag of screws. Sure, that’s part of what you need to put the desk together, but it’ll never work without the other parts. Oh — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @mattyglesias: https://t.co/ZVcOt0YNjD for advance text of all State of the Union speeches, but with more zoning takes and occasional mu… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @foster_type: Nationalism guy thinks some nations only matter as padding between other nations. — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @janamorsecode: Condoleezza Rice says Biden has managed to unite NATO in ways she didn’t think possible after Cold War and the @FOX host… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

There is one very big, extremely obvious reason that the US will not intervene in the Ukraine conflict. It's the same reason that Russia felt like they could invade in the first place: nukes. https://t.co/txiGGftxME — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@DavidAstinWalsh https://t.co/QloDbBiSEf https://t.co/BoklHxnhiV — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

There's real bravery here. Strategically, I don't understand them calling for a NATO no-fly zone that obviously will never happen — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @alexbward: Read @zackbeauchamp on why Putin is doing this https://t.co/HcXh9tO0X9 — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

It’s interesting how the state Republican parties that have been pushing the limits on anti-democratic and socially repressive legislation are generally in swing states — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

Thanks to @SevaUT and @apolyakova for helping me think through these issues, and to an excellent panel (@KadriLiik, @scharap, @SSestanovich, and Fyodor Lukyanov) for a clarifying discussion — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

When you're feeling sore throated And the line can be noted That's a-Covid! — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

This is way more representative of Canadian culture than the Freedom Convoy https://t.co/Z0R8h1M13I — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @mattyglesias: Well now I have unpaywalled the column in question so the whole senate can read it. https://t.co/iQonKuo3cu https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @leedrutman: What do you do in a two-party system when one of the two major parties becomes anti-democratic? @zackbeauchamp and I have a… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @dylanmatt: I think it's nice. It's so hard to make new friends as an adult — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

"Legitimate political discourse" https://t.co/QNCvgOSrb9 — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

"Legitimate political discourse" https://t.co/8t9gvJTIoV — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

RT @imillhiser: Anyways, I was inspired by this debate between @zackbeauchamp and @DouthatNYT about just how much trouble American democrac… — PolitiTweet.org

Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

The best defenses of Biden on immigration are that 1) the courts tied his hands on Remain in Mexico and 2) decreasing the salience of immigration is good politics. The former is only partially true, and the latter is extremely doubtful https://t.co/OCWWhKs3gd — PolitiTweet.org