Tweets of @Redistrict Sorted Chronologically


Showing last 100 tweets

Don't get me wrong: unlike #GA06, Beto's $80+ million & enthusiasm in metro suburbs could make a big down-ballot im… https://t.co/KXPglwbXNK

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Thu Oct 18 15:25:21 +0000 2018

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Jon Ossoff*2 = 7.2% loss https://t.co/CYl9e5GYku

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Thu Oct 18 14:35:56 +0000 2018

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Every cycle, there are a few incumbents their own party's strategists wish they could throw overboard. Brat is one… https://t.co/T3cYIsrZv2

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Thu Oct 18 13:24:40 +0000 2018

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This is a critical development in Toss Up #NM02 due to the huge bloc of undecided voters who were waiting to find o… https://t.co/eDXm91WB8I

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Wed Oct 17 22:39:43 +0000 2018

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@noxin1997 @texasfan3601 @FieldsChamp Az06 is still in likely R

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Wed Oct 17 22:31:40 +0000 2018

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Correction: Rose had $1.4 million on hand at the end of September, not $1.6 million.

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Wed Oct 17 21:36:57 +0000 2018

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Rating change: Staten Island's #NY11 moves from Likely R to Lean R as Rep. Dan Donovan (R) enters the homestretch a… https://t.co/MzjxLQ0QZl

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Wed Oct 17 21:33:12 +0000 2018

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Rating change: #OH12 moves from Lean R back to Toss Up at @CookPolitical as new Rep. Troy Balderson (R) struggles t… https://t.co/mWRYUazbKV

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Wed Oct 17 21:28:43 +0000 2018

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No, not gonna happen. What's actually happening: hyper-motivated early voters are cannibalizing their party's E-Day… https://t.co/I3NHjChdn1

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Wed Oct 17 16:27:38 +0000 2018

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@earlmanwich No, it told us the turnout was normal *enough* that Lesko would win, which she did.

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Wed Oct 17 15:16:51 +0000 2018

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@earlmanwich Yes, b/c the overwhelming majority of AZ ballots were cast by mail. Not true of most states where peop… https://t.co/v4y8gLL5YH

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Wed Oct 17 15:13:00 +0000 2018

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Can't wait to enter "let's predict E-Day outcomes based on early/absentee turnout data" hell over the next few weeks.

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Wed Oct 17 15:04:44 +0000 2018

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Is Joe Radinovich (D) trailing by 15% as NYT/Siena found? That's a matter of some dispute. But most agree Pete Stau… https://t.co/DmEcJaQtLE

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Tue Oct 16 22:22:01 +0000 2018

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Rating change alert: GOP takeover odds increase on the Iron Range. #MN08 OPEN (D) moving from Toss Up to Lean R at @CookPolitical.

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Tue Oct 16 22:19:02 +0000 2018

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@henryolsenEPPC @SteveKornacki Actually, only a tiny sliver of Salt Lake City is in #UT04. Its suburbs are the bulk of the CD.

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Tue Oct 16 21:22:44 +0000 2018

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Perhaps most staggering: Dem challengers outraised GOP incumbents in 38 House seats @CookPolitical currently rates as Likely or Solid R.

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Tue Oct 16 21:13:09 +0000 2018

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Races where long-shot Dems have outraised R incumbents can look intriguing, but keep in mind 1) cash on hand and 2)… https://t.co/o3dHSm2VSb

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Tue Oct 16 16:28:32 +0000 2018

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Tue Oct 16 16:21:33 +0000 2018

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The best fundraiser Democrats have ever had? Donald Trump. https://t.co/DZvEp0UrWQ

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Tue Oct 16 15:45:13 +0000 2018

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Interesting in #SC01 (where Rep. Mark Sanford (R) lost primary): Joe Cunningham (D) outraised Katie Arrington (R) $… https://t.co/CpHQX9VOQE

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Tue Oct 16 06:07:51 +0000 2018

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The opposite end of the $ spectrum: #CA22, where Andrew Janz (D) outraised Rep. Devin Nunes (R) $4.4 million to $3.… https://t.co/5vRAtnAYv8

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Tue Oct 16 05:57:17 +0000 2018

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What if you held an election in a CD Trump won w/ under 52% and no one bothered to run a real campaign or raise mon… https://t.co/MJT5PxqBgB

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Tue Oct 16 05:48:43 +0000 2018

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To beat Trump, I'm of the mind Dems are going to need nothing short of the absolute best they've got. Right now, i… https://t.co/Rps0EQeZvR

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Tue Oct 16 05:12:12 +0000 2018

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Btw, here’s the #VA07 debate tape. Maybe the defining moment: Brat sheepishly raising his red rebuttal card at the… https://t.co/SQt5o5akif

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Tue Oct 16 02:18:19 +0000 2018

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There will be plenty of closer races than this one where the candidates will have raised like 10% of the $$ these g… https://t.co/ZaTvipjSj6

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Tue Oct 16 01:26:49 +0000 2018

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RT @BenjySarlin: This was sorta GOP’s problem in 2012. Had just elected a bunch of compelling Rs, but not in time to run for president. htt…

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Tue Oct 16 01:13:13 +0000 2018

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@LiberalCanuck thanks for the kind feedback.

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Tue Oct 16 01:07:03 +0000 2018

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Tue Oct 16 00:36:50 +0000 2018

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@CBC727 @bricey16 Unless they're a lot better than your field of presidential candidates

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Tue Oct 16 00:13:36 +0000 2018

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A big problem for Dems in 2020: many of their '18 challengers (especially women) have far more compelling bios & ca… https://t.co/L5oKwrUHnM

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Tue Oct 16 00:06:42 +0000 2018

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If you just watched that closing sequence in the #VA07 debate between Abigail Spanberger (D) and Rep. Dave Brat (R)… https://t.co/4arO5iRfxQ

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Tue Oct 16 00:01:44 +0000 2018

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RT @allymutnick: We're going to see a lot of outraised incumbents in Q3 but this disparity is really WILD: #TX32 @ColinAllredTX raised $1M…

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Mon Oct 15 21:07:46 +0000 2018

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RT @JayCostTWS: NBD just a few weeks away from the midterms and close races in MT and IN haven't been polled in ages. But here's another RV…

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Sun Oct 14 15:47:44 +0000 2018

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Fascinating that none of these 7 polls in “competitive” districts are remotely close right now...could it be noise?… https://t.co/Yd355SA12H

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Sat Oct 13 20:56:23 +0000 2018

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@ForecasterEnten @FiveThirtyEight 25-35, probably down from 30-40 a few weeks back. could go back up, who knows.

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Sat Oct 13 14:27:41 +0000 2018

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(personally, I might be more in the 70-75% range)

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Sat Oct 13 14:19:01 +0000 2018

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This is awful for Senate Dems, who need to win every Clinton state + 11 Trump states for control. But it also prob… https://t.co/nbzvY3mzOR

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Sat Oct 13 14:15:47 +0000 2018

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October polls: Dems mostly doing better than we thought in Clinton-won areas & Rs better than we thought in Trump-w… https://t.co/W8HPCBnXRu

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Sat Oct 13 13:54:38 +0000 2018

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RT @Nate_Cohn: We're at the 250 mark in AZ06, where Dave Schweikert has a 15 pt lead. Everything looks fine under the hood. Still early, bu…

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Sat Oct 13 04:18:58 +0000 2018

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The irony: had Dem mapmakers foreseen the anti-GOP suburban shift in 2011, they could have easily drawn DeKalb into… https://t.co/ysbo7heba1

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Fri Oct 12 15:07:30 +0000 2018

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New at @CookPolitical: dual Trump/Rauner drag poses increasing danger to Rs in suburban Chicago. #IL06: Roskam (R)… https://t.co/fjqQm6U1u8

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Fri Oct 12 15:01:20 +0000 2018

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May not be enough $$ in the world for Beto to win statewide, but adds to GOP’s down-ballot peril in suburbs like… https://t.co/lRjFOL3RZm

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Fri Oct 12 14:44:47 +0000 2018

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RT @CookPolitical: New House ratings changes: #IL06 Toss Up to Lean D ⇦ #IL14 Lean R to Toss Up ⇦ #NV04 Likely D to Lean D ⇨ https://t.co/u…

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Fri Oct 12 12:58:45 +0000 2018

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@Nate_Cohn Help me understand: the final 10 dots of the night were 5 Malik, 2 Schweikert & 3 Undecided but Schweike… https://t.co/xCp9VXkRxK

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Fri Oct 12 04:37:33 +0000 2018

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RT @RonBrownstein: Sprawling from white-collar suburbs near Seattle through apple-growing rural areas across the Cascades, the #Washington-…

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Fri Oct 12 03:34:17 +0000 2018

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Ok, now this is getting out of hand: Wexton (D) now winning all *seven* respondents west of the Shenandoah River.… https://t.co/vmbFjIOtZy

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Thu Oct 11 22:55:58 +0000 2018

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Why do Dems have a serious midterm problem w/ Hispanics? Lower-income/young/urban Hispanics just aren't that motiva… https://t.co/IiJa9q07KP

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Thu Oct 11 22:44:19 +0000 2018

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Amazing that #FL27 started out as the likeliest Dem pickup of the cycle. Now, Shalala's late-career bid seriously j… https://t.co/1a7DFRsQTo

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Thu Oct 11 22:37:36 +0000 2018

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More Dem underperformance w/ Latinos in #FL27... https://t.co/wr0zjANVWI

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Thu Oct 11 22:17:56 +0000 2018

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Funny: Wexton (D)'s entire lead over Comstock (R) so far attributable to three respondents in the Shenandoah Valley… https://t.co/ZMUUrajC68

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Thu Oct 11 22:06:36 +0000 2018

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@Nate_Cohn At this late stage, however, #AZ06 might already fall into the missed opportunities bucket for Dems. Mal… https://t.co/R1WbeqqQy0

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Thu Oct 11 18:50:45 +0000 2018

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At this point we’re pretty much down to two 11/6 possibilities: 1) Pure blue wave 2) Divergent waves w/ blue+swing… https://t.co/3mwtzAgiVH

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Thu Oct 11 16:51:41 +0000 2018

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@bmcchgo @atlsportscholar @billburton no

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Thu Oct 11 13:54:57 +0000 2018

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@bmcchgo @atlsportscholar @billburton Actually, Steve Chabot (R) has traditionally won not-insubstantial (double di… https://t.co/n6wFF3kuXw

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Thu Oct 11 13:35:06 +0000 2018

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@billburton unskew away...

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Thu Oct 11 13:19:06 +0000 2018

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If Beto could only combine his likely margins in white suburbs w/ Clinton’s margins/turnout in the Rio Grande Valle… https://t.co/DtVX20wH4o

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Thu Oct 11 04:06:05 +0000 2018

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Beto’s likely downfall: lack of Hispanic enthusiasm for him. Leads Cruz 56%-38% w/ Hispanics, but that’s just not g… https://t.co/HMkmZQUxGi

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Thu Oct 11 03:46:08 +0000 2018

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If this ad can’t bring a Dem back to Congress from the coalfields, nothing will. #WV03 https://t.co/iKEKPeRf4p

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Thu Oct 11 01:16:43 +0000 2018

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Percentage of eligible 18-29 year olds who voted in the last midterms: 19.9%. https://t.co/bZB3urAS72

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Tue Oct 09 14:54:45 +0000 2018

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Of the 68 House races @CookPolitical rates as competitive, Dem nominees are women in 36/68 (53%), Rs in 16/68 (24%)… https://t.co/hKI5UuhkXx

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Mon Oct 08 19:01:22 +0000 2018

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P.S. Sorry, the structure of the Senate/Electoral College is not changing anytime soon.

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Sun Oct 07 16:29:50 +0000 2018

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RT @pbump: Whatever your view of Kavanaugh, remarkable that a nominee who is underwater on support, put forward by a historically unpopular…

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Sun Oct 07 15:46:16 +0000 2018

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@susmurphy @Susan_Hennessey We don’t disagree

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Sun Oct 07 00:19:41 +0000 2018

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If Dems/Kav-outraged are going to overcome this defeat, they must first acknowledge public opinion is *not* on thei… https://t.co/BhsQtfVsxZ

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Sat Oct 06 20:16:34 +0000 2018

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RT @LarrySabato: If I were an expert on the 1850s, I'd have a better chance of adding something useful. https://t.co/gfscf4OZAc

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Sat Oct 06 19:02:00 +0000 2018

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If anything, feels like Dem chances here have been overrated for months based on McCready (D)’s $$. #NC09 https://t.co/YzSZqv8OGS

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Sat Oct 06 14:59:49 +0000 2018

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Just heard about an R poll where a longtime House R incumbent is up just 46%-39% vs. a Dem who trailed ~50-to-1 in… https://t.co/X0k2YsgznX

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Sat Oct 06 14:07:42 +0000 2018

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RT @MarcACaputo: Donna Shalala’s Orange Bowl curse https://t.co/GChwi5zEPg

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Fri Oct 05 18:32:37 +0000 2018

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When in Madison... #electionfoodtour https://t.co/rqKEWUvYID

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Fri Oct 05 17:33:24 +0000 2018

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RT @chucktodd: Let’s be blunt, our political parties are waging a “cold” civil war... And as ⁦@amyewalter⁩ argues so well, each side ration…

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Fri Oct 05 16:16:56 +0000 2018

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RT @jennifereduffy: Changes in four Governors races, including two big moves. #SDGov: Likely Rep -> Toss Up #OKGov: Likely Rep -> Lean Rep…

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Fri Oct 05 12:35:23 +0000 2018

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Thu Oct 04 22:29:57 +0000 2018

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If I were a casual voter in #VA02 who doesn't eat/sleep/breathe political news, I'd have zero idea what kind of mal… https://t.co/2mLyeTAdh9

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Thu Oct 04 22:25:32 +0000 2018

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The reality is: Trump won 46.1% nationally & lost the popular vote by 2.9 million but carried 60/100 Senate seats.… https://t.co/0yPmur90zV

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Thu Oct 04 21:52:02 +0000 2018

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@chrislhayes @NickBaumann Yes

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Thu Oct 04 21:47:12 +0000 2018

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The reactions to Kavanaugh in the House vs. Senate battlefields could be night & day. More on this divergence dynam… https://t.co/fchmJUVQ6n

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Thu Oct 04 21:31:49 +0000 2018

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Remarkable: of the 68 most competitive House districts (Lean/Toss Up), only 16 are taking place in states with a co… https://t.co/RjjQkueWIG

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Thu Oct 04 21:29:32 +0000 2018

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Not sure if it’s blissful ignorance during a “blue wave,” but IMHO many Dems are majorly underestimating/overlookin… https://t.co/Q3AdgicNYU

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Thu Oct 04 19:21:02 +0000 2018

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@mattyglesias I’d say there’s a big asterisk next to that one.

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Thu Oct 04 19:13:38 +0000 2018

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A few years from now, more people might appreciate how impressive a feat it was for a Dem to get elected to federal… https://t.co/D2OxyxgiZ5

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Thu Oct 04 19:11:48 +0000 2018

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On balance, Dems have to be pretty happy w/ these CA numbers. https://t.co/twgShrn6EC

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Thu Oct 04 12:47:39 +0000 2018

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RT @jennifereduffy: Senate rating changes that serve as a reminder that if the pol enviro favors Dems, the map doesn’t #MTSen: Lean Dem -…

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Thu Oct 04 12:38:06 +0000 2018

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It’s also not supported by the bulk of district-level House polling, which continues to be pretty robust for Dems. https://t.co/9xjOxbmdqB

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Thu Oct 04 12:14:24 +0000 2018

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RT @carloslcurbelo: @Redistrict @CookPolitical Feels great to be home again! 😆

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Thu Oct 04 03:32:43 +0000 2018

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UPDATED: there are 435 House races. Need to keep track of what's in play? Here's a presentation-ready PDF of our la… https://t.co/kgOk6wjShe

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Wed Oct 03 22:17:07 +0000 2018

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Keep in mind, the Kavanaugh effect will likely be *VERY* different in the Senate (red/rural states where Dems have… https://t.co/QpJFTLqMQ4

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Wed Oct 03 22:06:12 +0000 2018

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There's still plenty of time for conditions to change, but right now the likeliest outcome appears to be a Democrat… https://t.co/L1cy8ztuUP

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Wed Oct 03 22:00:55 +0000 2018

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@mcjenmcg @Bencjacobs @CookPolitical No.

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Wed Oct 03 21:52:22 +0000 2018

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RT @CookPolitical: NEW House Ratings Changes: #FL26 Lean R to Toss Up ⇦ #KS03 Toss Up to Lean D ⇦ #MI03 Solid R to Likely R ⇦ #MI11 Toss Up…

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Wed Oct 03 21:31:41 +0000 2018

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In addition, we're moving one seat with merged incumbents at @CookPolitical: #PA17: Rothfus (R)/Lamb (D) - Lean D to Likely D

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Wed Oct 03 21:29:33 +0000 2018

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We're also moving 2 other GOP seats out of solid at @CookPolitical: #MI03: Amash (R) - Solid R to Likely R #NY21:… https://t.co/8I0gljYMFy

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Wed Oct 03 21:28:30 +0000 2018

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House Ratings alert: 7 more GOP seats move towards Dems at @CookPolitical. Biggest changes: #FL26: Curbelo (R) - L… https://t.co/UswMfoJ65M

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Wed Oct 03 21:25:38 +0000 2018

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Stand by for @CookPolitical rating changes.

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Wed Oct 03 21:25:18 +0000 2018

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RT @PoliticsReid: Context on Andrew Janz vs Devin Nunes: https://t.co/4dIbtOkMII

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Wed Oct 03 13:58:32 +0000 2018

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Still remarkable: he said comparable things all throughout 2016 and turnout/Dem support levels among young, Hispani… https://t.co/zEiysIPzsR

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Wed Oct 03 13:37:04 +0000 2018

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Andrew Janz (D) announces $4.3 million raised against Rep. Devin Nunes (R) in #CA22. That’s quite a lot for a Solid R race.

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Wed Oct 03 11:23:16 +0000 2018

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When I think about some of the Dem "recruitment failure" districts that could still be close b/c the environment is… https://t.co/irhS6XR2RC

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Tue Oct 02 13:07:14 +0000 2018

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Tue Oct 02 12:24:19 +0000 2018

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Republicans are still spending in #VA10 out of personal loyalty to Comstock (R), not because she has a good chance… https://t.co/DpfMF2MCT8

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Tue Oct 02 12:23:26 +0000 2018

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This is precisely what happened to ‘17 VA Dems, who *underestimated* the wave and failed to adequately fund a bunch… https://t.co/7B0s1JfY18

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Mon Oct 01 20:04:39 +0000 2018

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