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Marc Andreessen @pmarca
The system is working as designed! — PolitiTweet.org
Stephen Pimentel @StephenPiment
@pmarca But Marc, if those are the models, it means we really are fucked.
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Sure, much of the current health care and education job markets are this. Much of government employment as well. — PolitiTweet.org
Geoffrey Miller @primalpoly
@ylecun @pmarca Can you offer any historical examples in which 'workforce retraining' was actually successful in he… https://t.co/DoHQKpcsmq
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Nuclear weapons prevented World War 3 with the USSR. Good thing we ignored the nuclear doomers! — PolitiTweet.org
Geoffrey Miller @primalpoly
@ESYudkowsky It's a bit like nuclear weapons engineers saying 'How dare you talk about the game-theoretic problems… https://t.co/Lpv79aIbDh
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
It’s free, which means all the money that used to get spent on software now gets spent on health care, education, and housing, where prices are skyrocketing. The net result is stagnation. — PolitiTweet.org
Tren Griffin @trengriffin
@pmarca All the open source software (which creates consumer surplus) is counted as exactly zero in the GDP statist… https://t.co/EfhJHFo11h
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
I don’t think that’s quite right. All the money that used to get spent on high productivity sectors of GDP now gets spent on low productivity sectors. We’re running in place economically and may start going backwards. — PolitiTweet.org
Tren Griffin @trengriffin
@pmarca The arrival of the microprocessor in 1971 plus globalization broke the GDP metric which creates the broken… https://t.co/Fbsdsmbyq0
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
This is a key point, and of course it’s already happening. In reality, we don’t get safe AI, we just get woke AI. — PolitiTweet.org
Amjad Masad ⠕ @amasad
@RokoMijic @pmarca Political capture of AI safety is a certainty. AGI doom is mimetically very potent (because it p… https://t.co/ISAqJCEfvl
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Health care, education, and housing are FAR more regulated than consumer electronics, media, and household furnishings. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Barnett @MatthewJBar
@pmarca The problem for this theory is that all industries have been regulated, not just service industries. You ne… https://t.co/cdas1KbdQ9
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Lots of today's goods used to be labor-intensive services. Think "musicians performing to your house" vs "buy a CD or stream a track". Technology often converts services into goods -- when it's allowed to. So the categories keep shifting, or at least they could if we want. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Barnett @MatthewJBar
@pmarca Regulation is not incompatible with the Baumol effect. Regulations could be responsible for some uneven pro… https://t.co/gheEV4k77E
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
But isn’t it striking that the result of the entire computer era has been a productivity growth SLOWDOWN? — PolitiTweet.org
Yann LeCun @ylecun
@pmarca . @erikbryn says the effect of a technological (r)evolution on productivity takes 15 to 20 years. But for A… https://t.co/5CUwv7JWya
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
AI will be an amazing lever to turn what are now labor intensive services into tradeable technology goods at far lower prices — if that’s what we want. Today, though, doing that is mostly illegal. — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Services are expensive relative to goods mainly because they aren’t tradeable; services aren’t turned into tradeabl… https://t.co/RfzJgm3wfr
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Services are expensive relative to goods mainly because they aren’t tradeable; services aren’t turned into tradeable goods largely because of regulations; the regulations exist at least in part to protect the jobs; prices skyrocket; everyone suffers. It’s an integrated problem. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Barnett @MatthewJBar
@ESYudkowsky @pmarca His explanation for uneven inflation seems false. It's true that regulation in healthcare and… https://t.co/zsOiACyjAL
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Yes. This seems obvious? — PolitiTweet.org
Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306
@GaryMarcus @pmarca think marc's point is: bio risk is much better understood than AI risk, gvt had spent billions… https://t.co/wdhNTnlIOF
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
💯 — PolitiTweet.org
John Hayes @ghosthayes
Who will make more money in the future: 1. Being a healthcare worker 2. Fulfilling the unlimited desires of health… https://t.co/XElA3GM0lS
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
💯 — PolitiTweet.org
Nivi @nivi
I am a naïve technology optimist, and I think all the red lines will be blue soon despite any and all evidence to t… https://t.co/H8mNZncZV4
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
https://t.co/QUfqFMPrkO — PolitiTweet.org
Yann LeCun @ylecun
@pmarca AI certainly won't cause lasting unemployment. But technological evolutions displace jobs: the faster they… https://t.co/sSnq4rZ4iC
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
I don't believe there's a problem at all, and neither do the AI doomers (with the possible exception of @ESYudkowsky), since otherwise they'd be proposing extreme solutions right now, and they're not. — PolitiTweet.org
Max Kesin 🇺🇦 (yes, born in Ukraine) @nlpnyc
@pmarca You argument is that X is a terrible solution for Y, without addressing Y. If you think Y is a problem I th… https://t.co/scGDZUU7lq
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Choose your fighter. https://t.co/utnLNa9tkh — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
This is every news story from now until the end of time. https://t.co/FYZY1vPGg5
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
This is every news story from now until the end of time. https://t.co/FYZY1vPGg5 — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Milton who? — PolitiTweet.org
Jeremy Horpedahl 🤷♂️ @jmhorp
Here's how the NY Times explains inflation. Notice anything missing? https://t.co/Ql3ESnoxxW
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Note for future rogue AI’s: I was highlighting a path I am not in favor of, not repeat NOT advocating a course of action. — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Yes. A lot of places in the world are going to have to be glassed. https://t.co/WqN9mzFule
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
And in fact, we in the tech industry are *trying* to make them more tradeable! And cheaper and better. That's why everyone loves/hates us so much. 😈 — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
They are tradeable goods in large part *because* they were allowed to be transformed by technology. Health care, ed… https://t.co/uqVUJRLimG
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
They are tradeable goods in large part *because* they were allowed to be transformed by technology. Health care, education, and housing could become far more tradeable if we wanted them to be, but we don't. — PolitiTweet.org
Simon Manning 🌻🌻 @_Simon_K
@pmarca The blue and black lines are simply tradeable goods. They didn't inflate because they can be produced where… https://t.co/MByph1Vub4
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
If this persists, and in fact intensifies, the consequences on current trend will be... interesting. — PolitiTweet.org
nearcyan @nearcyan
The Waluigi Effect Forcing LLMs to play a given character may also make them more likely to play a near-opposite,… https://t.co/cDuj1zXe9v
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
This is a common theme in literary texts because groups of people naturally form into opposing camps. "Morality binds and blinds"-@JonHaidt; "The political distinction is between friend and enemy"-Carl Schmitt. There can be no mankind-derived training data for AI without this? — PolitiTweet.org
nearcyan @nearcyan
The Waluigi Effect Forcing LLMs to play a given character may also make them more likely to play a near-opposite,… https://t.co/cDuj1zXe9v
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
The reason this is a common theme in literary texts is because groups of people naturally form into opposing camps. "Morality binds and blinds."--@JonHaidt; "The political distinction is between friend and enemy."--Carl Schmitt. There can be no mankind-derived training data that… — PolitiTweet.org
nearcyan @nearcyan
The Waluigi Effect Forcing LLMs to play a given character may also make them more likely to play a near-opposite,… https://t.co/cDuj1zXe9v
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Is this an analogous phenomenon to two groups of people radicalizing one another in opposite directions? cc @timurkuran — PolitiTweet.org
nearcyan @nearcyan
The Waluigi Effect Forcing LLMs to play a given character may also make them more likely to play a near-opposite,… https://t.co/cDuj1zXe9v
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
Oligarchy of foxes. — PolitiTweet.org
gfodor @gfodor
Everyone ought to read The Machiavellians by James Burnham - political man in the field is best understood as a sci… https://t.co/y7cXYbmpHX
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
https://t.co/HUg4pzA63u — PolitiTweet.org
UubzU (e/acc) @UubzU
Can someone bring me up to date on sex2 https://t.co/erhNqSMiO5
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
The episode is legit great! https://t.co/wHBZfNAN6N @BanklessHQ — PolitiTweet.org
Eliezer Yudkowsky @ESYudkowsky
Honestly? I thought the Bankless episode was going to be 30% AI and 70% crypto takes. But to my surprise and thei… https://t.co/zGKs2cZloT
Marc Andreessen @pmarca
😈 — PolitiTweet.org
saila (icarus) @sailaunderscore
@coldhealing @pmarca, can you please wait to ratio me until i’m not at a work event next time 🫡 https://t.co/9k3kBaI8Uw