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Michael McFaul @McFaul
Whether you think Putin is planning to invade Ukraine again or exercising coercive diplomacy, we can all agree that Putin does not seek "a stable and predictable" relationship with the United States. That is clear. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: As Putin yet again threatens Ukraine, I hope we can finally put to rest this silly idea of pealing off Putin to balance against… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: We must guess about Putin’s intentions regarding Ukraine as clear evidence is not available. But we don’t have to guess about c… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: The central challenge for U.S. strategists seeking to contain & compete with China is separating vital from non-vital interests… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: Did the US need to fight in Vietnam to prevail in the Cold War? No. Did the U.S. need to fight in South Korea to prevail? Yes.… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: And remember, Russians "won" the Cold War. (and Poles, Estonians, Ukrainians, Georgians etc). Yet, today, most of the debate ab… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
China experts face the same challenge. For all of our advances in social science methods, it is striking to me how time we still spend (and rightly if tragically so) on reading tea leaves about Xi's or Putin's intentions. — PolitiTweet.org
Seva @SevaUT
the hardest part about being a russia expert is picking out the right crystal ball
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @Ukraine: 🇺🇦✌️Happy Day of Freedom and Dignity On this day the Orange Revolution in 2004 and the Revolution of Dignity in 2013 began.… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @v_milov: Vote for #Navalny @navalny — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @GresselGustav: My humble attempts to make sense of all the 🇷🇺 #military movements we witnessed over the past weeks 4 @ecfr: it is not o… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @andrewsweiss: Has Putin gotten his head around the $$$ impact of military intervention in #Ukraine? Prob not but here’s a good one line… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @steven_pifer: The more #Russia moves to change security situation along #NATO-Russia borders, the more NATO needs to weight whether 199… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@ClaireAdida Yes — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
From last August: "Biden and Zelensky should also discuss the peace process for eastern Ukraine, including perhaps formal U.S. involvement in the moribund Normandy process between Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine." https://t.co/I6PXWdqqaF — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
What I wrote on eve of Zelensky's visit last summer: "Zelensky should stop asking — for now — to sign a NATO Membership Action Plan (MAP). MAPs do not provide security guarantees, and the hard reality is that Ukraine today is not qualified to join NATO." https://t.co/I6PXWdqqaF — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
You're the military expert, not me. But on the diplomatic side, I dont much evidence of DC misleading Kyiv about joining NATO. When I discussed with Zelensky last summer @Stanford , he didn't sound misled but disappointed. — PolitiTweet.org
Ryan Evans @EvansRyan202
I suspect UKR military is not nearly strong enough to withstand RU. The interesting question is why @McFaul's asser… https://t.co/1ACWdwRDOF
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Why did Putin intervene in Ukraine (2014), Syria (2015), and the U.S. (2016)? My take in @Journal_IS : "Putin, Putinism, and the Domestic Determinants of Russian Foreign Policy." https://t.co/WewvEjPNcS — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I don’t know if Putin plans to invade Ukraine again. You don’t know either. I doubt Putin himself knows. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@SevaUT hah! brilliant. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
And remember, Russians "won" the Cold War. (and Poles, Estonians, Ukrainians, Georgians etc). Yet, today, most of the debate about great power competition is about competing/containing governments and almost nothing about engaging their societies. That's a strategic mistake. https://t.co/uIJ7Su7ZEx — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Did the US need to fight in Vietnam to prevail in the Cold War? No. Did the U.S. need to fight in South Korea to pr… https://t.co/LtVL2QyEgM
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Did the US need to fight in Vietnam to prevail in the Cold War? No. Did the U.S. need to fight in South Korea to prevail? Yes. Did the U.S. need to prop up apartheid South Africa? No. Did Western trade unions need to do battle with Soviet-backed trade unions? Yes. Get the idea. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
The central challenge for U.S. strategists seeking to contain & compete with China is separating vital from non-vit… https://t.co/gKP2G…
Michael McFaul @McFaul
My take: "Cold War Lessons and Fallacies for US-China Relations Today." 2/ https://t.co/BUCH75pZB0 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
The central challenge for U.S. strategists seeking to contain & compete with China is separating vital from non-vital interests. US does not have the capacity to contain PRC everywhere & on every issue. Lots of lessons to be learned from the Cold War of what NOT to do again. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Biden & team should consider similar messaging when speaking about deepening constructive engagement with the Vietnamese Communist Party dictatorship. Otherwise, the US will be accused of hypocrisy when criticizing CCP dictatorship. 4/ END THREAD cc: @trinhhoivoice — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
"The nature of the South African political system prevents us from having such a relationship now. That goal will remain elusive in the absence of purposeful, evolutionary change toward a nonracial system." 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Reagan's Asst Secy for Africa Chester Crocker said that the US wanted to see "the emergence in South Africa of a society with which the United States can pursue its varied interests in a full and friendly relationship, without constraint, embarrassment or political damage." 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Even at the peak of Reagan's constructive engagement with apartheid South Africa, U.S. officials criticized the regime. (though not nearly enough as I wanted at that time!) THREAD 1/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Sounds a lot like arguments we made about autocratic South Vietnam during the last Cold War (& apartheid South Africa, "freedom fighters" in Afghanistan & Angola, Pinochet's Chile, Tito's Yugoslavia, etc.) Im not saying it's wrong. Just familiar. — PolitiTweet.org
Derek J. Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Campbell: “This is going to be a critical swing state…Even though we have different kinds of government, different… https://t.co/Y2BYU97EJB
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I didn't claim they were. — PolitiTweet.org
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch
Ukraine and Taiwan aren’t even remotely the same in terms of strategic and geopolitical US interests, economic and… https://t.co/WSGgXRIrf7
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@EzraACohen exactly. — PolitiTweet.org