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Michael McFaul @McFaul
@stephenwertheim @shifrinson @ikelly731 What evidence is that? & what evidence is there that Putin feels threatened? This debate reminds me of what people said about the WMD threat in Iaq in 2003. I wish more analysts- including me — would have been more skeptical about those claims & pushed for more evidence. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Think of the counterfactual. No matter what the outcome, a summit on democracy is better than no summit. — PolitiTweet.org
Morgan Kaplan @MorganLKaplan
What’s the best article out there making the argument that the #SummitforDemocracy is a good idea and likely to be… https://t.co/WAI9zvSHpv
Michael McFaul @McFaul
If you think Putin’s probability of invading Ukraine is 10%, Biden’s task is to reduce it to 5%. Diplomacy - including coercive diplomacy— at this moment should not be influenced by IC assessments. The same urgency is needed whether assessments are at 70 or 10% probabilities. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@shifrinson @ikelly731 So why hasn't Biden/Blinken endorsed a MAP for Ukraine? — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @ikelly731: @shifrinson In 2014, Obama did: he said "neither Ukraine nor Georgia are currently on a path to NATO membership":https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
What I wrote on the eve of the last Biden-Putin summit. Tragically, almost all of it still holds true today: "How we should measure the success of Biden’s summit with Putin" https://t.co/TazSxrPTZe — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: You don't get many friends in life who you also deeply admire for their intelligence, convictions, and love. For thirty years,… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @DamonMacWilson: There are few in the world who have so consistently, eloquently contributed to the cause of freedom and democracy than… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
the International Platform for Freedom (IPF). For the details, read this: 4/ EN THREAD https://t.co/g1978fyA1G — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Such support must be both top-down and bottom-up. Therefore, at the second summit, Biden and his democratic partners should create a new multilateral organization to support non-governmental democratic activists and liberal democratic ideas around the world: 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Biden & his team need to ask these governments—alongside foundations, non-governmental organizations, multilateral organizations, and private companies—to collectively create new support for democratic societies, as well as for liberal and democratic ideas throughout the world. 2 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
"The deliverables planned for these [democracy] summits seem focused on action plans by participating democratic governments to deepen their democracies, but this is not enough." 1/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Support for independent media and public diplomacy frequently gets forgotten in discussions about democracy promotion. That's a mistake. My take: https://t.co/5cm4fbVHOK — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
In the run-up to Biden's Democracy Summit, reupping my list of recs for how to better advance democracy abroad. Top of the list: improve democracy at home: https://t.co/mpgZNjmGzO — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Im done arguing here about the facts leading up to Putin's invasion of Ukraine in 2014. Read my detailed take in Ch 23 of From Cold War to Hot Peace. A shorter is here: https://t.co/NQhQnMmRJI . Email me what I got wrong. Be precise. Ill respond. But not on this platform. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@27khv You are wrong. Here is the damn agreement that they all signed -- the very 3 oppo leaders that Nuland was discussing. https://t.co/Rr2jl0t0P2 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Maybe you forgot about this agreement? It was signed between Yanu and the 3 opposition leaders Nuland was discussing on that call. Goal was "compromise" not "overthrow." (But others in Ukrainian oppo called it a sellout.) https://t.co/Rr2jl0t0P2 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
They were discussing who should join a new government as a way to end the crisis, NOT to overthrow Yanukovich. Did you hear anyone say that "Yats" should overthrow Yanu? No. Because Yanu was president and they were discussing PM position. Yes #FactsMatter. Please study them. — PolitiTweet.org
Max Blumenthal @MaxBlumenthal
Listen to the audio phone call between US officials Victoria Nuland and Amb. Geoffrey Pyatt in which they openly pl… https://t.co/yYm4nEQ9dP
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @MeetThePress: WATCH: Biden and Putin to speak amid growing tensions on Ukraine. #MTPDaily Amb. @McFaul: "I don't even think Putin him… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @FSIStanford: 🇷🇺| 🇺🇦 The tone the Biden administration is taking on Russia is good, but being specific and credible will be even better… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@UsaPeretz @27khv Ive read that transcript, I was in the US government at the time. So now let me ask you to read -- Ch 23 of FROM COLD WAR TO HOT PEACE for my take. Tired of discussing this history on twitter. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@27khv You are just wrong about this. She is talking about choosing a PM that would be acceptable to both Yanukovich and opposition! (not one that would lead to overthrow of Yanu). — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
"If Putin invades Ukraine, then Russia will be kicked out of SWIFT." Just say it on the record. And it will make it easier to do so afterwards if God forbid, but Putin does invade Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
These are good signs. But these threats of sanctions would be so much more credible if they were stated by senior USG officials on the record before Putin acts. Doing so would also tie Biden administration hands, as well as our allies. — PolitiTweet.org
Natasha Bertrand @NatashaBertrand
NEW: "Pretty damn aggressive" sanctions package in works by US & Europe should Russia invade Ukraine, sources say.… https://t.co/xWfXIM…
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@27khv The piece you posted shows Nuland meeting with Yanukoviuch! She was trying to cut a deal between Yanu and oppo. Moving on. You're not interested in a discussion of history, only a cherry-picking of facts that confirm your views. Thats fine for you. That's not the business Im in. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
You don't get many friends in life who you also deeply admire for their intelligence, convictions, and love. For thirty years, Fred was one of those very special people in my life. Such a sad day. Fred Hiatt, Washington Post editorial page editor, dies https://t.co/L6qTqipo0O — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Devastating loss. Fred Hiatt, Washington Post editorial page editor, dies at 66 https://t.co/L6qTqipo0O — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @anneapplebaum: A person of immense integrity and professionalism. An optimist. Also, a very kind man and an excellent boss. A terrible… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I wrote about Putin decision-making in 2014 in detail in this piece: Putin, Putinism, and the Domestic Determinants of Russian Foreign Policy | International Security | MIT Press https://t.co/VvJPFeiEa3 3/ END THREAD — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Please consider an alternative hypothesis. Maybe Putin needs to invent the threat of NATO expansion to justify his coercive diplomacy or invasion? (As you know well, Russian leaders are not the only ones who have done so in the past. (The years 1964 & 2003 come to mind!) 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
