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Michael McFaul @McFaul

And this! Polls with a 95% non-response dont tell you much about society, especially in a country in which respondents think they are talking to the government when talking to pollsters. — PolitiTweet.org

Greg Yudin @YudinGreg

By the way, @RusFieldGroup are among the very few who publish the response rates. They're consistently at 5-7% sinc… https://t.co/ggbf54UOgj

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

For those claiming that Putin cannot afford to accept defeat because Russian society wouldn't accept it, please check this out: — PolitiTweet.org

Greg Yudin @YudinGreg

This is exactly what I am talking about: 60% would support Putin if he launches a new attack on Kyiv 75% would supp… https://t.co/cTjUpBxidH

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

So many analysts are saying that 'Putin cannot accept defeat.' Why do they assume that Zelensky can accept defeat? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Давайте проясним, тот, кто пытается аннексировать территорию размером с Португалию, мобилизирует ещё 300,000 солдат и угрожает ядерным оружием, — это он эскалирует, не Байден или НАТО. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @naderalihashemi: Update from Iran -- behold the crisis of legitimacy of the IRI which is on full display @DannyPostel @hadighaemi @ara… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: Let's be clear, the guy trying to annex territory the size of Portugal, mobilizing 300,000 more soldiers, and threatening to us… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Really enjoyed watching @krichevskaya new movie about @tvrain with Vera & @sindeeva @Stanford last Friday. So did our audience. See it! https://t.co/efT2Fkv9mL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

First Kadyrov & Prigozhin lambast Russia's top generals, then the tv propogandists talk about a 30 year war after industrial restructuring, and now 30 dozen deputies don't show up for the biggest vote of their life -- all signs that consensus around this failing war is crumbling — PolitiTweet.org

Nikolaus von Twickel 🇪🇺 @niktwick

The Duma has 450 members, so between 37 and 41 did not bother to vote https://t.co/iGS02kOV8m

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @steven_pifer: Well worth remembering: Luhansk oblast -- 83% for independence Donetsk oblast -- 83% for independence Zaporizhzhia oblas… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @EuromaidanPress: Day 222. Ukrainian forces continued to liberate settlements east and northeast of Lyman and have liberated Torske in D… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

For what leader is defeat ever considered an option in war? Leaders don't choose defeat. They are defeated. — PolitiTweet.org

Shashank Joshi @shashj

‘A nuclear strike is still considered unlikely, though concern among US officials about the potential for such an a… https://t.co/U5Jm2HCaH7

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Great thread from @YudinGreg on why polling in Russia is so problematic. His points on non-respondents are especially important. — PolitiTweet.org

Greg Yudin @YudinGreg

There will probably appear very soon some poll numbers suggesting that Russians are incredibly enthusiastic about a… https://t.co/A0lapPjQEp

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @YudinGreg: Response rates are frighteningly low – 10-25% depending on methodology. Many (although not all) pollsters report that in 202… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @YudinGreg: 3. Nonreponse. While survey nonresponse is an issue in many countries, it affects Russian polls disproportionately. Our rese… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @YudinGreg: It is safe to assume that Russians are fine with any decision taken by Putin. Had he handed Luhansk and Donetsk over to Ukra… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @ford_nik: Sums up my experience in a space I visited tonight. https://t.co/kNPdTegra3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @Omid_M: When the news came out that students were protesting inside Sharif University & under siege by security forces, ppl rushed to t… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @UkraineInEurope: The correct word is 'occupy' not annex. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: Hey @ZelenskyyUa , I have a suggestion for you. Please give safe passage to Russia to anyone living in your country who actuall… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Let's be clear, the guy trying to annex territory the size of Portugal, mobilizing 300,000 more soldiers, and threatening to use nuclear weapons is the one escalating, not Biden or NATO. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

I've changed my mind about policy positions. I've revised hypotheses, even those in published academic articles, after encountering new evidence. That's the scientific method. Clinging to the same ideas, no matter what new evidence comes along, is not good science or good policy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Video of Ukraine Troops Dancing Ahead of Lyman Victory Viewed 1.6M Times - Newsweek - https://t.co/QpNkyQgByP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Sablin admits that second-rate weapons from the West are better than Russia's best weapons. He also admits that Russia needs 30 years to win. These are words those losing, not winning. He also shows his complete ignorance of Ukrainian society. I wonder if Putin is watching? — PolitiTweet.org

Julia Davis @JuliaDavisNews

Tonight on Russian state TV: the mood is grim, look at their faces. Dmitry Sablin, Deputy Chairman of the Defense C… https://t.co/oXU8Q8POBO

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Source? Not me. Not @ZelenskyyUa or @oleksiireznikov. Not @radeksikorski, @carlbildt, @IlvesToomas, @general_ben, @PMBreedlove, @JohnEdHerbst, @Kasparov63, Kagan, etc. That's from John Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, 2014. p. 164. cc: @WillRuger. 3/ END. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

"Indeed, appeasement is likely to whet, not shrink, and aggressor’s appetite for conquest. In short, appeasement is likely to make a dangerous rival state more, not less, dangerous.” 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

“Appeasement contradicts the dictates of ... realism and therefore it is a fanciful and dangerous strategy. It is unlikely to transform a dangerous foe into a kinder, nicer, opponent, much less a peace-loving state." 1/ THREAD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

I’m tired of people appropriating the word, “realism” when promoting fairytales. You are a naive dreamer if you think giving Putin a chunk of land the size of Portugal will produce any permanent peace or a better world. That is naïveté about Putin, power politics & world history. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

@jeremymwall Putin could get out of the “corner” Today by ending this war. Leaders all around the world would commend him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Russians, go home. Leave Ukraine. Save yourselves. Don’t die in vein in a senseless war — a vanity project of one man. There will be no glory for you or your family in this war. For your mom and your children, go home. Live, even in jail. Putin will not rule Russian forever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated
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Michael McFaul @McFaul

But I’m always ready to learn. Is there a case in history when a dictator described his alleged enemies of Satanism but then stopped killing/annexing his neighbors when they surrendered? I can’t think of such a case. But I’m ready to learn about such historical analogies. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Putin could end this war today. No one is pushing him into any abstract corner. The world “as it is” was never made… https://t.co/CKeQtjecgH

Posted Oct. 3, 2022 Hibernated