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Rob Lee @RALee85
1427/ https://t.co/uZT9ClvuLc — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a Russian BMP that apparently struck an anti-tank mine driving by another damaged vehicle.… https://t.co/SnXeRQ3ahd
Rob Lee @RALee85
1426/ https://t.co/nxdlKkXjiK — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Photo reportedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian M777 howitzer strike on a Russian ammunition storage site. Th… https://t.co/CdhK1LDZMD
Rob Lee @RALee85
1425/ https://t.co/pNb9IvKj7k — PolitiTweet.org
🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker @UAWeapons
#Ukraine: Russian forces abandoned another via MT-LBVM armoured vehicle in the East- via @bjoernstritzel. As can b… https://t.co/tAMmmFXxvL
Rob Lee @RALee85
Photo reportedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian M777 howitzer strike on a Russian ammunition storage site. They claim 7 BMPs and a tank were destroyed. https://t.co/NEbRZOrNZJ https://t.co/bh4pnc8UHx — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
3 additional Russian sailors who were killed on/near Snake Island. Senior Sailor Dmitry Ostrovsky and Sailor Nikita Maksimenko likely served with the Black Sea Fleet's 388th Naval Reconnaissance Point (OMRP). Dmitry Deev was a communications specialist. https://t.co/v3lwxiop8F https://t.co/cPNFigHFf6 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@HN_Schlottman @DI_Ukraine @dupuyinstitute The thing I would point out is that I think the 1st Tank Army likely had more cases of soldiers surrendering and abandoning vehicles than other units, so that could affect the ratios. They also invaded with more conscripts than other Russian units. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a Russian BMP that apparently struck an anti-tank mine driving by another damaged vehicle. https://t.co/BhsDVfhgiv https://t.co/Lyp9HAzJxv — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @HN_Schlottman: 1/ I've gone through the original posting by @DI_Ukraine and looked at losses for each unit. I've made a graphic listin… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
“We think Putin and Gerasimov are involved in tactical decision making at a level we would normally expect to be taken by a colonel or a brigadier,” the military source said. https://t.co/wKMjhp7x9w https://t.co/XfbTJ8gfKN — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Keep in mind that some BTGs only had 400 personnel and that was before attrition. I don't think the BTG figure is particularly helpful for assessing Russian ground combat power at this point. 2532/ https://t.co/Enx13mLH3N — PolitiTweet.org
Jack Detsch @JackDetsch
NEW: U.S. assesses Russia has committed 80 percent of battalion tactical groups to Ukraine: senior U.S. defense off… https://t.co/SonZknekAz
Rob Lee @RALee85
2531/ https://t.co/EdTxTBWIOM — PolitiTweet.org
Jack Detsch @JackDetsch
NEW: Ukraine has put 74 of the 90 U.S.-provided howitzer artillery pieces provided into the fight with Russia: seni… https://t.co/d6YkJyHvJ5
Rob Lee @RALee85
1424/ https://t.co/Hkl4ng464E — PolitiTweet.org
🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker @UAWeapons
#Ukraine: The crash site of a Russian Mi-28N attack helicopter with a tail number of RF-13628. It was reportedly sh… https://t.co/Ng0eCy4wOf
Rob Lee @RALee85
2530/ https://t.co/cSS7D5F0B8 — PolitiTweet.org
Reuters @Reuters
Five buses of evacuated Azovstal servicemen arrive in Ukraine's Novoazovsk -Reuters witness https://t.co/L4IqrOkjJ2 https://t.co/IUoncNQb9T
Rob Lee @RALee85
12/ — PolitiTweet.org
Francis Scarr @francis_scarr
In an extremely rare moment of candour on Russian state TV today, defence columnist Mikhail Khodaryonok gave a damn… https://t.co/dhHsu9GEj6
Rob Lee @RALee85
1423/ — PolitiTweet.org
Oryx @oryxspioenkop
Orlan-30. The second visually confirmed to have been lost since February 24. https://t.co/mUUW9gBojd
Rob Lee @RALee85
The reservists are being told they will serve in the rear but instead are reportedly being deployed to the front, including one case where a platoon of reservists were deployed to Zolote and were ordered to seized positions by LDNR fighters. 3/ https://t.co/zXELN9aH4x — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
2529/ https://t.co/Ixg2oN2fQD — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian Orlan-10 UAV footage reportedly of TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS strikes on Ukrainian positions.… https://t.co/ozmRL7Lk3h
Rob Lee @RALee85
2528/ https://t.co/T3mTDy2Cbk — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan Ruser @Nrg8000
Putin's War - May 16th Map Briefing. Today there are unconfirmed but reliable reports that Ukrainian forces have cr… https://t.co/92CGQCSgXg
Rob Lee @RALee85
@AVSIllini @br4s1d4s @KofmanMichael Yep, the brunt of the casualties were in maneuver units, particularly naval infantry, VDV, and spetsnaz. So Russia can't rely on them as heavily for the current offensive, and are instead throwing mobilized DNR/LNR guys into the fight with predictable results. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@AVSIllini @KofmanMichael I think 10-12k is most likely. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
As an example, Russia's 1st Tank Army reportedly lost 308 vehicles by mid-March but only sustained 61 KIA (possibly higher with the MIA figure), which is a pretty low figure. Though more vehicles were abandoned at the beginning of the war than later on. https://t.co/bxdzJiRaVT — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Ukraine published documents reportedly from Russia's 1st Tank Army showing its losses through March 15. It lists: 6… https://t.co/VAdflwtnLR
Rob Lee @RALee85
@AVSIllini I think that is probably about right. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
One reason for the difference in casualty estimates has to do with how you count a destroyed Russian BTR or BMP. If you count each as full, you'll have a higher estimate, but we know that many BMP/BTR only had 3-4 personnel and many were destroyed after they were abandoned. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael
This is all circling around a target. Given the gaps, my own confidence is quite low, but I think some of the figur… https://t.co/4W5HxDv6l2
Rob Lee @RALee85
*serial — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
But continuing the offensive in the Donbas at this rate means this operation will become unsustainable faster than if Russia decided to dig in and defend the territory it currently holds. Domestic political considerations seem to be driving Russia's behavior. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian Orlan-10 UAV footage reportedly of TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS strikes on Ukrainian positions. https://t.co/k24TWVaDIz https://t.co/AdjlkxVvLG https://t.co/SANGodXugp — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
The BM-30-D Spitsa turret (32V01) with a 2A42 30mm cannon from TsNII Burevestnik for the Vystrel vehicle has reportedly gone into serious production. https://t.co/Gl3KIPXvbo https://t.co/f4eX61DiX2 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Putin clearly realizes that mobilization or de-escalation would be very unpopular (the 2nd would mean admitting it won't achieve its objectives), and that Russia can continue the current operation without much domestic blowback for the time being. But it can't do this forever. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
It feels like Russia's leadership is engaged in strategic procrastination. Its current efforts won't achieve strategic gains, so they could escalate or de-escalate, but they realize the downsides of both. However, Russia's current operation isn't sustainable without a change. — PolitiTweet.org
Dmitri 🇺🇦 @mdmitri91
Igor Girkin recaps the current situation in Donbas and declares the Russian offensive has failed. Source and text… https://t.co/bXsyesnN7C
Rob Lee @RALee85
11/ https://t.co/JkcjKjmTom — PolitiTweet.org
Dmitri 🇺🇦 @mdmitri91
Igor Girkin recaps the current situation in Donbas and declares the Russian offensive has failed. Source and text… https://t.co/bXsyesnN7C
