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Rob Lee @RALee85
The initial Russian MoD briefing on Soledar emphasized the role played by the Air Force, artillery, air defenses, VDV, and EW, but made no explicit mention of Wagner. But a second statement released later mentioned Wagner's role. https://t.co/WCEFuPZ34X https://t.co/TMy0EOLj2T https://t.co/Rq3ivgx7Q0 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Another photo of a Wagner Chekan or Shchuka MRAP in Ukraine. https://t.co/2cSOuqCmBN https://t.co/WXNE3NkqDn — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Another video of a Ukrainian S-300V1 air defense system engaging a target. 2/ https://t.co/mWlId6PWnN https://t.co/lv6LnOHhKU — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @CITeam_en: Russian mobilization, Jan 10–11: Dmitry Peskov denies reports about an alleged ban on leaving Russia from Jan. 9; Duma memb… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
88/ https://t.co/Mrx11OtLQO — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian UAZ-452 Bukhanka with improvised armor. https://t.co/jrIMYmsUfR https://t.co/4e6aW40LRr
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian UAZ-452 Bukhanka with improvised armor. https://t.co/jrIMYmsUfR https://t.co/4e6aW40LRr — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Wagner fighters in Soledar, including one with an AK-12 + Aimpoint CompM4s. https://t.co/MmJ4h2mBqQ https://t.co/3yfq0UfeI5 https://t.co/uY55UsfHaP — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Wagner fighters with a ZALA 421-16E UAV. https://t.co/90VB4NxKw7 https://t.co/d9mP7SJ9h0 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
4601/ https://t.co/8Ylj6feENf — PolitiTweet.org
Christiaan Triebert @trbrtc
Same level of destruction Bakhmutske, which lies in between Soledar and Bakhmut. Images: @Maxar. For the… https://t.co/Ea2rg7ykuq
Rob Lee @RALee85
Footage of improvised loitering munitions used by Ukraine’s 79th Air Assault Brigade in Marinka against Russian T-72B tanks. The footage is likely old. https://t.co/LgdfknAJ08 https://t.co/Mgag7k4xzE — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Speaking about why mobilized Russian soldiers are captured, Rybar suggests 1) a lack of career officers (many units are led by mobilized/reservist officers) 2) lack of psychological preparation 3) lack of planning and understanding of their role/mission. https://t.co/H8DT3yDsjc https://t.co/QmadiWEL6f — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Vladlen Tatarsky says that because of heavy infantry losses, some companies (presumably Russian motorized rifle units) only have 2-3 members who were part of the company on February 24. He says up to 90% of personnel in some units are mobilized soldiers. https://t.co/wARaYqAzBX https://t.co/eANfTAk9Bn — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
BBC report from Bakhmut posted last week showing a captured Russian T-72B3 tank in Ukrainian service and MT-12 Rapira anti-tank cannons. https://t.co/S0o7hBBzDu https://t.co/R5bl81otW3 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video from Ukrainian SSO of artillery strikes on Russian forces in the Soledar area. Interestingly, they claim that Tochka-U are also being used. https://t.co/DpD9xAe5oC https://t.co/wwuEZf4RZC — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Ukrainian forces captured a Russian T-90S tank designed for export contracts. https://t.co/t7O9BS77ov https://t.co/v3W3ozHLja — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Also, if there was a plan to include Belarusian forces, it would make sense to elevate the overall commander to Gerasimov. — PolitiTweet.org
krakek @krakek1
@shashj @RALee85 Sure, you have one person (Surovikin) to take responsibility for hard decisions (Ie Kherson) and t… https://t.co/C7wXKI8IbZ
Rob Lee @RALee85
A day after announcing that Ground Forces commander Army General Oleg Salyukov is Gerasimov’s deputy for the war in Ukraine, Salyukov made a visit to Belarus. https://t.co/rb9jtwPV7J https://t.co/92211uPXXS — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a ground CASEVAC by Ukrainian forces in Soledar with an M113. https://t.co/Y4NC0d7LI1 https://t.co/uvrciTodwO — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@CharlesLindberg But things were going far worse for Russia earlier. Why didn't he take over in April, May, mid summer, or in September? It seemed Russia's strategy over the past few months was to buy time to stand up units with mobilized soldiers. The timing is a bit odd for such a move. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian T-90M tanks. 44/ https://t.co/Vjx8CVuUiK https://t.co/ZKauZNR5AQ https://t.co/W5K9cuXEdk https://t.co/wB6ZsaKXF0 https://t.co/O2bC2bVL1u — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
As a reminder, Putin awarded Surovikin the Order of Saint George on December 31. https://t.co/PtHyefvLKb https://t.co/Gpf5pCWLdD — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
If this is true, it would mark a change. The previous Russian commanders who were replaced no longer had a command role in the war. That's why keeping Surovikin as a deputy is a little strange if his performance was deemed unsatisfactory. https://t.co/WPixuARLA4 — PolitiTweet.org
R.Politik @R__Politik
Gerasimov was handed command of the military operation because of Surovikin's serious setbacks.
Rob Lee @RALee85
A good thread by Mark. I think it is important to ask why this change is happening now. If Putin thinks Gerasimov will improve the Russian military's performance, why didn't he appoint him sooner? Russian C2 seems to have improved under Surovikin. https://t.co/f0h1nixtiC — PolitiTweet.org
Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti
Putin's decision to appoint Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov as new overall commander of Ukraine op is significant. A quick thread 1/
Rob Lee @RALee85
So Gerasimov can now put out videos showing him doing the same and taking charge when the front line has stabilized (and not take the blame for leaving the right bank of Kherson). Notable that he is bringing two Ground Forces officials who didn't have a command role in the war. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Prigozhin is trying to make himself the public face of Russia's force, and he consistently puts out videos allegedly showing him near the front and seeing the hardships his fighters face. He has repeatedly criticized generals and MoD leaders who are doing the opposite. https://t.co/GVGU0wqrPm — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
This reasserts the MoD's position overseeing the war. Prigozhin has praised Surovikin while criticizing Lapin and the senior leadership of the MoD. This may also partially be a response to Wagner's increasingly influential and public role in the war. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
I don't think this is because Surovikin is viewed as a failure. Certainly possible that this was driven by political reasons. As the unified commander in Ukraine, Surovikin was becoming very powerful and was likely bypassing Shoigu/Gerasimov when talking to Putin. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Salyukov is the commander of the Russian Ground Forces and Kim is its deputy commander. This appears to be a quite significant change. Not clear if this means Surovikin will be in charge of Russian Air Force operations or if the force groupings will remain the same. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Valery Gerasimov is taking over as the commander of Russian forces in Ukraine. His deputies will be Surovikin, Army General Oleg Salyukov, and Colonel General Alexey Kim. https://t.co/3bWZCMhNkI https://t.co/VBD02Wvz4v — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Very helpful. https://t.co/IQ34ABHyuK https://t.co/hSJRobJUqX — PolitiTweet.org
