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Rob Lee @RALee85
One of the problems with "OSINT" and how this war is perceived is that videos of a tank being destroyed are far more likely to be shared and retweeted. That can give you a false perception of how vulnerable tanks are when there are plenty of videos like this (and with ATGMs). — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a Ukrainian UAV dropping a VOG grenade on a Russian T-80BV tank. It appears to do minimal damage.… https://t.co/sZDdyLX4Dn
Rob Lee @RALee85
@2fraven You don't need to apologize, you made a good point. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@2fraven Not saying it is a dumb idea, just noting how much damage it caused. Some people are suggesting these tactics make tanks obsolete, so it is important to note when tanks survive. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @AbraxasSpa: Barrett MRAD + TSA-7/9 https://t.co/2fOY1OHQ4v — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@battle_machines Possible, though not clear. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
2/ https://t.co/tZ0eGpWXyY — PolitiTweet.org
Jane Lytvynenko @JaneLytv
By chance, I’m sitting next to a woman whose grandma lives in this building. The grandma is ok. “There’s nothing th… https://t.co/Gr3hLzJxxq
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a Ukrainian UAV dropping a VOG grenade on a Russian T-80BV tank. It appears to do minimal damage. https://t.co/FEAu4kWw3u https://t.co/2edYulJe9s — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
One last point, it is very important to track military developments closely if you're trying to determine changes in Russia's intentions. One of the reasons why I thought a Russian escalation was probable in 2021 was because of the type of systems they deployed near Ukraine. 5/ — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a loitering munition strike on a Russian BMP-3 by Ukrainian SBU Alpha. https://t.co/j1QlzU4g8L https://t.co/zp4R2Eixvd — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
A Russian missile struck a residential building in Dnipro. https://t.co/ArXCn2oRfM https://t.co/bSWkrwfVZj https://t.co/oJq66JVQev — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @bayraktar_1love: Russian missiles destroyed a residential high-rise building in Dnipro during today's massive Russian missile attack on… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
4/ https://t.co/lEYCdkl8RT — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of Russian Tochka-U short-range ballistic missile TELs reportedly in Luhansk Oblast with “V” markers.… https://t.co/1CZOsknUIJ
Rob Lee @RALee85
The 9M723 quasi-ballistic missile is supposed to have a unique flight trajectory in the terminal phase that makes it difficult to intercept (and it also discards decoys). It is notable if Russia is using them again, but it doesn't signal a change in Russian strategy. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
The Iskander-M is a very important system for the Russian Ground Forces and is typically an army-level asset. The deployment of Iskander-M systems from Central Military District's 448th Missile Brigade in the spring of 2021 and movement in October was a key warning sign. 2/ https://t.co/8yg6c5S6GA — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Seeing people suggest that Russia hasn't used ballistic missiles in this war but that isn't accurate. Russia used Iskander-M systems very actively in the beginning (including from Belarus), which can launch 9M723 quasi-ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, as well as Tochka-U. https://t.co/DN3bLH3etO — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Luxmoore @mjluxmoore
New attacks on Kyiv this morning with Russia using ballistic missiles that Ukraine’s limited air defenses aren’t eq… https://t.co/7fvnrf1NbR
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @Jack_Watling: Tanks will help Kyiv break the deadlock. But its partners now face a fork in the road. I write for @ObserverUK on the pro… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@_A_Knapp @KofmanMichael Thanks Andreas. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
40/ https://t.co/jc1XnQTDxP — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Wagner fighters with a ZALA 421-16E UAV. https://t.co/90VB4NxKw7 https://t.co/d9mP7SJ9h0
Rob Lee @RALee85
39/ https://t.co/Zo0aRcSbjd — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Another photo of a Wagner Chekan or Shchuka MRAP in Ukraine. https://t.co/2cSOuqCmBN https://t.co/WXNE3NkqDn
Rob Lee @RALee85
4602/ https://t.co/TxrBrOd7mS — PolitiTweet.org
Cᴀʟɪʙʀᴇ Oʙsᴄᴜʀᴀ @CalibreObscura
Footage of the famous fire extinguisher RPG round in use in #Bakhmut by the Sheikh Mansour Battalion. Is made from… https://t.co/l2rwF3VyK3
Rob Lee @RALee85
@robert51300 That the first month demonstrated tanks were obsolete. Their vulnerabilities are well known and there are ways to mitigate them, which Russia did not do in the first month. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@stubbornella The Russian units didn't know they were going to war, so the tanks weren't ready, they didn't have enough fuel, units didn't coordinate with infantry, etc. Many of those mistakes would not have been made by a NATO military, so it doesn't tell us tanks are no longer relevant. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @shashj: I’ve written a lot about open-source intelligence, long before the war & in the run-up to it. This interactive piece is about h… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@kirlant @RisaBrooks12 @CarstenQSchneid @Curseofthe9th @CEUalumni Congratulations Kirill. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@robert51300 I said confirmed losses. Not all of Russia's tank losses were documented, but many of those documented on the list as destroyed were likely abandoned first before being destroyed by hand. A substantial share of Russia's initial tank losses were not combat losses. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@gregadamo Ukraine is using tanks from the same family effectively. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@robert51300 I looked at Oryx's data, which is why I said "confirmed tank losses". — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
More than 50% of Russia's confirmed tank losses from the first month were abandoned. People jumped to hyperbolic conclusions about the viability of tanks without actually looking at the data (or how Ukraine used them). An example of how false narratives are difficult to dispel. — PolitiTweet.org
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb
What I don't quite understand is that I thought the early stages of the conflict showed how vulnerable tanks were.… https://t.co/YuevmkSgz4
Rob Lee @RALee85
Prigozhin shared a comment from a retired colonel associated with Wagner who said he was surprised by the MoD statement because there were no paratroopers in Soledar, only Wagner fighters. 2/ https://t.co/FOUYMaWYry https://t.co/fogWv757PF https://t.co/5DCfNqw1AQ — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
A Russian T-90M tank. 45/ https://t.co/VIP3tiPGYZ https://t.co/xip9QoZhHy — PolitiTweet.org