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Rob Lee @RALee85

One of the problems with "OSINT" and how this war is perceived is that videos of a tank being destroyed are far more likely to be shared and retweeted. That can give you a false perception of how vulnerable tanks are when there are plenty of videos like this (and with ATGMs). — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a Ukrainian UAV dropping a VOG grenade on a Russian T-80BV tank. It appears to do minimal damage.… https://t.co/sZDdyLX4Dn

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@2fraven You don't need to apologize, you made a good point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@2fraven Not saying it is a dumb idea, just noting how much damage it caused. Some people are suggesting these tactics make tanks obsolete, so it is important to note when tanks survive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

RT @AbraxasSpa: Barrett MRAD + TSA-7/9 https://t.co/2fOY1OHQ4v — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023 Retweet
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@battle_machines Possible, though not clear. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

2/ https://t.co/tZ0eGpWXyY — PolitiTweet.org

Jane Lytvynenko @JaneLytv

By chance, I’m sitting next to a woman whose grandma lives in this building. The grandma is ok. “There’s nothing th… https://t.co/Gr3hLzJxxq

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a Ukrainian UAV dropping a VOG grenade on a Russian T-80BV tank. It appears to do minimal damage. https://t.co/FEAu4kWw3u https://t.co/2edYulJe9s — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

One last point, it is very important to track military developments closely if you're trying to determine changes in Russia's intentions. One of the reasons why I thought a Russian escalation was probable in 2021 was because of the type of systems they deployed near Ukraine. 5/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a loitering munition strike on a Russian BMP-3 by Ukrainian SBU Alpha. https://t.co/j1QlzU4g8L https://t.co/zp4R2Eixvd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

A Russian missile struck a residential building in Dnipro. https://t.co/ArXCn2oRfM https://t.co/bSWkrwfVZj https://t.co/oJq66JVQev — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

RT @bayraktar_1love: Russian missiles destroyed a residential high-rise building in Dnipro during today's massive Russian missile attack on… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023 Retweet
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Rob Lee @RALee85

4/ https://t.co/lEYCdkl8RT — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of Russian Tochka-U short-range ballistic missile TELs reportedly in Luhansk Oblast with “V” markers.… https://t.co/1CZOsknUIJ

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

The 9M723 quasi-ballistic missile is supposed to have a unique flight trajectory in the terminal phase that makes it difficult to intercept (and it also discards decoys). It is notable if Russia is using them again, but it doesn't signal a change in Russian strategy. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

The Iskander-M is a very important system for the Russian Ground Forces and is typically an army-level asset. The deployment of Iskander-M systems from Central Military District's 448th Missile Brigade in the spring of 2021 and movement in October was a key warning sign. 2/ https://t.co/8yg6c5S6GA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Seeing people suggest that Russia hasn't used ballistic missiles in this war but that isn't accurate. Russia used Iskander-M systems very actively in the beginning (including from Belarus), which can launch 9M723 quasi-ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, as well as Tochka-U. https://t.co/DN3bLH3etO — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Luxmoore @mjluxmoore

New attacks on Kyiv this morning with Russia using ballistic missiles that Ukraine’s limited air defenses aren’t eq… https://t.co/7fvnrf1NbR

Posted Jan. 14, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

RT @Jack_Watling: Tanks will help Kyiv break the deadlock. But its partners now face a fork in the road. I write for @ObserverUK on the pro… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2023 Retweet
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@_A_Knapp @KofmanMichael Thanks Andreas. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

40/ https://t.co/jc1XnQTDxP — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Wagner fighters with a ZALA 421-16E UAV. https://t.co/90VB4NxKw7 https://t.co/d9mP7SJ9h0

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

39/ https://t.co/Zo0aRcSbjd — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Another photo of a Wagner Chekan or Shchuka MRAP in Ukraine. https://t.co/2cSOuqCmBN https://t.co/WXNE3NkqDn

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

4602/ https://t.co/TxrBrOd7mS — PolitiTweet.org

Cᴀʟɪʙʀᴇ Oʙsᴄᴜʀᴀ @CalibreObscura

Footage of the famous fire extinguisher RPG round in use in #Bakhmut by the Sheikh Mansour Battalion. Is made from… https://t.co/l2rwF3VyK3

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@robert51300 That the first month demonstrated tanks were obsolete. Their vulnerabilities are well known and there are ways to mitigate them, which Russia did not do in the first month. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@stubbornella The Russian units didn't know they were going to war, so the tanks weren't ready, they didn't have enough fuel, units didn't coordinate with infantry, etc. Many of those mistakes would not have been made by a NATO military, so it doesn't tell us tanks are no longer relevant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

RT @shashj: I’ve written a lot about open-source intelligence, long before the war & in the run-up to it. This interactive piece is about h… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023 Retweet
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@kirlant @RisaBrooks12 @CarstenQSchneid @Curseofthe9th @CEUalumni Congratulations Kirill. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@robert51300 I said confirmed losses. Not all of Russia's tank losses were documented, but many of those documented on the list as destroyed were likely abandoned first before being destroyed by hand. A substantial share of Russia's initial tank losses were not combat losses. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@gregadamo Ukraine is using tanks from the same family effectively. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@robert51300 I looked at Oryx's data, which is why I said "confirmed tank losses". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

More than 50% of Russia's confirmed tank losses from the first month were abandoned. People jumped to hyperbolic conclusions about the viability of tanks without actually looking at the data (or how Ukraine used them). An example of how false narratives are difficult to dispel. — PolitiTweet.org

Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb

What I don't quite understand is that I thought the early stages of the conflict showed how vulnerable tanks were.… https://t.co/YuevmkSgz4

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Prigozhin shared a comment from a retired colonel associated with Wagner who said he was surprised by the MoD statement because there were no paratroopers in Soledar, only Wagner fighters. 2/ https://t.co/FOUYMaWYry https://t.co/fogWv757PF https://t.co/5DCfNqw1AQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023
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Rob Lee @RALee85

A Russian T-90M tank. 45/ https://t.co/VIP3tiPGYZ https://t.co/xip9QoZhHy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2023