Rob Lee

Rob Lee @RALee85

So there are structural impediments to enlarging the Russian military, and political impediments to deploying many of its soldiers to Ukraine. Conscripts and refuseniks still aren't forced to deploy. Not sure this announcement is that significant in practical terms yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

The Don Cossack brigade with T-62 tanks and roof screens. https://t.co/1Tpxr6CeME https://t.co/wWyobUCo7B — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a destroyed Russian tank in the Izyum area. https://t.co/IvKO2DJMfB https://t.co/ZmpkmL8hw2 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

@Kama_Kamilia But there is a domestic political calculation here that Putin thus far has decided not to test. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Murmansk-BN EW system. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

@alexgarcialonso But they have to do so voluntarily, and they aren't getting enough guys to volunteer. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

And Russia isn't producing enough officers either. That is why I thought Russia would try to keep this war as short as possible, and why it was such a mistake for Putin to not walk away from the war in March with some reduced concessions. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

The Russian Ground Forces committed 80%+ of its permanent readiness units to this war in Feb-March. The longer this war goes on, each biannual draft will involve conscripts who get even less training, and fewer who sign contracts. The situation will only get worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Conscripts still aren't supposed to be deployed into Ukraine unless they sign a contract. The conscripts who were deployed in the 1st week were sent back. Even if Russia increases the manpower of the military, that doesn't mean it will have more guys available to send to Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

It isn't as simple as drafting more soldiers. Russia has lost a lot of officers and NCOs, and conscript units particularly need to have competent officers and NCOs for them to function. Not to mention, Russia doesn't have the personnel to train more conscripts. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

The official # for servicemen in the Russian military was previously more than 1 million but the actual size was ~850k. There is no easy way for Russia to increase its size at this point, other than simply declaring LDNR, Wagner, or volunteer units part of the Russian military. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Photos of a Russian Orlan-10 UAV reportedly downed by EW. https://t.co/xiPIkhMs0P https://t.co/yyJChAEkFz — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers from Ukraine's 36th Marine Brigade targeting a Russian BMD-2, fuel truck, and ammunition in the south. https://t.co/tMcf3LqPmf https://t.co/MF5nCHne0M — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

@spawnofKahn @IgnatiusPost @IranDefense I'm aware, but he may have talked to multiple officials who separately mentioned loitering munitions and Shahed UCAVs. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

"To bolster Russia’s depleted weapons inventory, Iran has begun delivering 'hundreds' of suicide drones, according to the intelligence officials. These drones would probably be part of the 'Shahed' series" @IgnatiusPost https://t.co/NGiDaQPIFB https://t.co/LOSnB19blC — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Not to mention, this will affect whether more Russians decide to volunteer to fight and whether those serving under short-term contracts decide to keep fighting. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

4036/ https://t.co/rvZauIozBC — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

I wouldn't underestimate the level of resentment many Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine will likely develop for senior leaders. Right when Russia's offensive has stalled and Kyiv is getting better arms, Russia's military is holding a tournament as if nothing else is happening. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Some Russian defense telegram channels are calling the ongoing dog and pony Army Games tournament a “mockery” of Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine who lack many necessary capabilities/equipment. This competition is for who baked the best bread. https://t.co/bZxJjPl0Zs https://t.co/Gl25M0ZIhX — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a UAV from Ukraine's 108th Mountain Assault Battalion dropping a munition on Russian troops. https://t.co/pQjjuQR9v1 https://t.co/u7PIC6S8vx — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Photos of Russian spetsnaz AK-74 RMO (KM-AK Obves) rifles with donated suppressors and Holosun HS403B and HM3X optics. https://t.co/tZjhAaPg07 https://t.co/P6MqD4YXi3 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

2196/ https://t.co/6NiJFTZf44 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a Ukrainian UAV dropping a 40mm grenade on a Russian BMD-2. https://t.co/dSMMB4dEg6 https://t.co/wxYI4opdfX — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

@PToveri @PartTime11A @CorporalFrisk @Jagarchefen @pmakela1 @oplatsen That was true in Ukraine as well. Too few dismounted infantry led to higher tank losses. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

4035/ https://t.co/hWNwWtRJTz — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Another video of a Ukrainian Buk-M1 in action. 2/ https://t.co/yPteG5x11D — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a Ukrainian Buk-M1 9A310M1 TELAR engaging a UAV. https://t.co/DuHNTxH21m https://t.co/JVguxnsqzK — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a DNR tank and BMP-2 in the Pisky area. https://t.co/G0Yds6v3MX https://t.co/LBr3jpyJHU — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of not particularly accurate BM-21 Grad MLRS fire on Pisky. https://t.co/KqrjgJKvJl https://t.co/DWF0i8ST49 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

Video of a Russian quad-copter UAV dropping grenades on Ukrainian positions. Looks like it missed the soldiers in the trench but knocked out the mortar position. https://t.co/jmoVDaT6JJ https://t.co/PysuIYSwil — PolitiTweet.org