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Rob Lee @RALee85

4178/ https://t.co/8k9RPLmXn6 — PolitiTweet.org

Ilya Lozovsky @ichbinilya

🇷🇺 gov’t spending news 👀👀👀 - Huge deficits this summer have wiped out the surplus earned since the beginning of th… https://t.co/DDSOjCp140

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@vfroloff 105mm howitzers can be transported by humvees, which is likely an advantage in certain terrain, and I suspect delivering 105mm rounds is a way to not deplete too much of the 155mm stockpile. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

RIA Novosti says that the administration building in Russian-occupied Kherson was struck by at least 5 rockets/missiles. Presumably HIMARS. https://t.co/vUITb1NfLK https://t.co/VAoTtoCCFX https://t.co/UH8pJbL2hb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

2/ https://t.co/Hb1EHGy6iS — PolitiTweet.org

Benjamin Pittet @COUPSURE

Convoy in Tambov heading west - Towards the airport ? 52.72034191377127, 41.40393534113751 @GeoConfirmed… https://t.co/9ZRKQcPl9j

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

4177/ https://t.co/8bRmSd2YXD — PolitiTweet.org

Will Vernon @BBCWillVernon

The ruler of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov, has called for Russian regional governors to carry out "self-mobilisation" a… https://t.co/W7I0loiMPd

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Baza reports that >8 prison transport trucks are transporting 400 prisoners in Tambov to a training area in southern Russia (possibly Wagner’s base in Molkino) likely before going to Ukraine. They say 10-12 prison trucks were seen in Belgorod last night. https://t.co/Cv3fMZcwEH https://t.co/d7QBuN6YZ1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@mgerrydoyle Was that a common view? My take was that the Russian military started to fight according to its doctrine in the spring, but that heavy casualties in Feb-March meant it would struggle to take much territory. I think the failures of the first month dictated the rest of the war. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

And to emphasize, militaries sometimes run into these issues when a war is going poorly, but the high number of refuseniks in this case occurred *before* the war began. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Another example. https://t.co/9RiuUCEns8 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Lee @RALee85

This photo is being shared by Ukrainian accounts, which appears to show the list of soldiers from Russia's 205th Mo… https://t.co/TOio72ZiQl

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

I don't think most of them refused to deploy because they are necessarily against the war, but because they realized it was going to be a disaster, especially when they were given a few hours' notice they were invading Ukraine. Another consequence of how Russia planned this war. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

I've heard of other Russian units in which 20% or more of soldiers, including officers, refused to deploy to Ukraine. Given Russia's manpower problems, the number of refuseniks is a not insignificant factor in the Russian military's struggles in Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Captains and senior lieutenants (couldn't tell for the first photo) likely from naval infantry units. That officers who should be serving as company commanders or deputy commanders in elite units are refusing to deploy tells you something about the extent of the refusenik problem — PolitiTweet.org

JD @Haruspexut

Refusing to take part in the special military operation now gets your face posted above a urinal.… https://t.co/Cook7wKH7Q

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Captured Russian T-72B obr 1989 tank with additional Kontakt-1 ERA bricks. 2274/ https://t.co/JjNhLmiQSX — PolitiTweet.org

Sergio Olmos @MrOlmos

The mood in Iyzum: a Ukrainian soldier poses next to an abandoned Russian tank. https://t.co/ZW9EtvBYo5

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Included in the new $600 million US aid package for Ukraine: HIMARS ammo 36k 105mm artillery rounds 1k 155mm PGM 4 counter-artillery radars 4 trucks and 8 trailers to transport heavy equipment C-UAS Mine clearing equipment Claymores Demolition munitions https://t.co/H8OJKXG5pa https://t.co/rYG6atzDPt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

4176/ https://t.co/CcJv44LVkK — PolitiTweet.org

Lara Seligman @laraseligman

BREAKING: U.S. to announce new $600M weapons package for Ukraine tomorrow, per two sources. Includes more HIMARS and 155mm ammo, I'm told.

Posted Sept. 16, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@ItalianLeopard2 Yes, but it doesn't make sense to have unarmored pick ups and MT-LB moving together for that purpose. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

3/ https://t.co/tGGOs0SyVy — PolitiTweet.org

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker @UAWeapons

#Ukraine: One of the first times that we have seen a Canadian Roshel Senator APC in use with the AFU- in this case,… https://t.co/U96xiCA04p

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@KrauseForIowa It was originally a motorized rifle division. The structure is similar. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@DennisMaxwell4 @7YrsGulag @EHargneux Correct. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

A captured Russian 2S23 Nona-SVK 120mm mortar in Ukrainian service. https://t.co/OOVH8fU9MS https://t.co/vzkVGVtDw1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@shakirov2036 @FletcherRussia Congratulations! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

In related news. https://t.co/AaMVpSBoNp — PolitiTweet.org

András Tóth-Czifra 🇺🇦 @NoYardstick

The Russian government is administering an across-the-board cut of 10% in budgetary expenses. This is in reaction t… https://t.co/mIUmj0Ugzk

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Yes, but they are affecting Russia's ability to prosecute the war and many of those effects will become greater over time (and other countries are watching). As with other lessons, we should wait until the war is over to draw strong conclusions about the efficacy of sanctions. — PolitiTweet.org

Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim

Because Washington is averse to evaluating the effectiveness of the economic sanctions it proliferates, it is worth… https://t.co/nnQjxERCXk

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@PoetShevchenko That's a good point, but Marder IFVs provide better protection. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@PoetShevchenko They're literally asking for APCs and IFVs right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

I think the use of pick up trucks in this case is due to a lack of armored vehicles. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

Interesting details from this video from Ukraine’s Kraken unit in Balakliya. It shows 2S3 Akatsiya howitzer, Strela-10, what looks like a bridge layer, MT-LB (one with a ZU-23-2), BRDM-2, a captured Tigr-M, pick up trucks, and possible HIMARS launches. https://t.co/FG2AzVesTY https://t.co/Jsf4gdgfCM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@Rebel44CZ I think it is 92 now, including T-80UK, T-80UE-1, and T-80UM2. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@Rebel44CZ I was including all T-80U variants, which I think should be at 90 or more. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022
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Rob Lee @RALee85

@Rebel44CZ Are we at 93? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2022