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Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 21: We can expect fossil fuels to make extreme weather far more dangerous in the future. Truth: Fossil fuels’ climate mastery benefits have far overwhelmed any negative side-effects on extreme weather for 100+ years and there’s every reason to expect this to continue. https://t.co/BHXctLJbEG — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 20: The rich, fossil-fueled world has ruined the poor world by making them vulnerable to extreme weather. Truth: Fossil fuels have made everyone more prosperous and less vulnerable to extreme weather. To be even better off the poor world needs more fossil fuels! https://t.co/Er2A7l26v1 — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 19: Floods are a bigger danger than ever thanks to fossil fuels. Truth: Floods are a smaller danger than ever thanks to fossil-fueled flood control infrastructure and disaster relief. https://t.co/ZssAOVpsZV — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 18: Drought is a bigger danger than ever thanks to fossil fuels. Truth: Drought is a smaller danger than ever thanks to fossil-fueled irrigation, crop transport, and agriculture. With more such mastery our crop productivity can continue to improve. https://t.co/9yFXATlBpC — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 17: Storms are a bigger danger than ever thanks to fossil fuels. Truth: Storms are a smaller danger than ever thanks to the fossil-fueled machines that build sturdy buildings, as well as fossil-fueled weather warning systems and fossil-fueled disaster relief efforts. https://t.co/C43CL8sPSg — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 16: Extreme temperatures are a bigger danger than ever thanks to fossil fuels. Truth: Extreme temperatures are a smaller danger than ever thanks to fossil fueled heating and AC—plus the net-benefits of warming in a world where far more people die of cold than heat. https://t.co/872UexrvrD — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
3 keys to understanding climate damage stats: 1. Damage should be measured % of GDP not compared $-for-$ to a poorer past with less wealth at risk. (E.g., Miami Beach) 2. More people today choose to live in damage-prone areas. 3. Government bailout policies increase damage. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Shellenberger @ShellenbergerMD
The increasing cost of hurricane damage can be explained entirely by more people and more property in harm’s way. C… https://t.co/3qCeH3rjT7
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 15: Thanks to fossil fuels we are suffering overwhelming damage from extreme weather. Truth: The trend of real weather damage is flat—despite many factors increasing vulnerability, like increasing coastal populations and bad incentives from government bailout policies. https://t.co/Qipi57nh3n — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 14: Thanks to fossil fuels more people are dying from extreme weather. Truth: Thanks to FFs more people are *not dying* from extreme weather—and everything else. Fossil-fueled prosperity has driven climate disaster deaths down 98% and life expectancy up by decades. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
We also don't know how many hurricanes the US East Coast and other vulnerable spots dodged or will avoid thanks to global warming. Models cannot give us this information and since it's not a negative, no mainstream researcher in the field is looking for ways to find out. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 13: Fossil fuels made Hurricane Ian worse for FL. Truth: While we can’t know exactly how Ian was different because of human climate impacts, we know that without FFs FL would be a third-world place that Ian would have utterly devastated. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 12: Attributions of X% of an extreme weather event to humans are credible. Truth: Not only are many attributors clearly biased, but no precise estimate of this kind is possible given today’s climate modeling limits, where mainstream models hugely diverge from one another. https://t.co/QmwszKIz5t — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
One of the few climate researchers who is openly looking at the full impact of fossil-fueled climate change, including potential avoided damage, is meteorologist and hurricane expert @RyanMaue. What are the chances we see his point about avoided hurricanes in the mainstream news? https://t.co/PnrvUBKtVZ — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 11: Extreme weather "attribution" researchers are simply trying to understand extreme weather and found fossil fuels guilty. Truth: Extreme weather "attribution" only looks for negative impacts of FFs on extreme weather, brazenly ignoring any *avoided* negative impacts. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 10: Climate attribution scientists have no political bias. Truth: Certain climate attribution "scientists" admit that they are motivated by political goals and shape their "science" accordingly. E.g., media favorite Friederike Otto wants climate research "on the offensive." https://t.co/j1T4Zgq3BJ — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 9: Media-cited research on extreme weather is unbiased. Truth: Extreme weather research is riddled with biases. In addition to ignoring fossil-fueled climate mastery, many researchers have overtly political motives and ignore positive impacts of fossil fuels on weather. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 8: Hurricane intensity is expected to get catastrophically more intense as temperatures rise. Truth: Mainstream estimates say hurricanes will be less frequent and between 1-10% more intense. This is not at all catastrophic if we continue our fossil-fueled climate mastery. https://t.co/AEkQqpqoGX — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 7: Hurricanes are expected to get more frequent as temperatures rise. Truth: Mainstream science estimates that hurricanes will become less frequent as temperatures rise. https://t.co/zGsW9QUh86 — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Here's recent US data for landfalling hurricanes, both overall and major. Again, consuming the @nytimes and other trusted sources would you have any idea that the data looked like this? https://t.co/rJDX3mUMQA — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Here are the latest data on global hurricane frequency and intensity from a 2022 paper (Klotzbach et al.). Does this remotely resemble what trusted media sources tell you? https://t.co/YNILaStCxV — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Leading media outlets have also deliberately ignored statements by NOAA and the IPCC about how any increases in hurricane frequency in records are likely due to increasing reporting, not actual frequency. https://t.co/mAU6rHXaQn — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 6: Media claims about increasing hurricane frequency are accurate. Truth: Leading media outlets have deliberately misrepresented the flat long-term hurricane trend. E.g., the @nytimes cherry-picking a starting point—the low point of 1980—to make a flat trend seem upward. https://t.co/phKvUcXyDi — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 5: The media and its designated experts are accurately reporting the scientific linking of fossil fuel use and hurricanes. Truth: This "reporting" is riddled with 1. deliberate misrepresentations (e.g., hurricane frequency) 2. biases (e.g., only reporting negative links) — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Fossil fuels will for decades remain uniquely able to provide low-cost, reliable energy to billions. That's why FFs are 80% of world energy and still growing. Restricting FF use means far less energy for climate mastery activities such as heating, cooling, and irrigation. https://t.co/hbpmniNWtq — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 4: We don't need fossil fuels to protect ourselves from extreme weather—we can just use alternatives. Truth: As Europe is illustrating, there is no near-term replacement for FFs for the 1/4 of the world that uses abundant energy—let alone the 3/4 of the world that doesn't. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Fossil fuels have made us far safer from extreme weather by providing low-cost energy for the amazing machines that protect us against storms, protect us against extreme temperatures, and alleviate drought. Deaths from extreme weather have decreased 98% over the last century! https://t.co/mOQPVHFX1P — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 3: The effect of fossil fuels on extreme weather danger is solely negative. Truth: Not only can warming from FFs have significant benefits (fewer cold deaths) but the low-cost energy FFs provide for billions gives us an unprecedented ability to *master* extreme weather. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 2: The media and its designated experts are accurately reporting on fossil fuels and extreme weather. Truth: The media and its "experts" are: 1. totally ignoring how FFs make us safer than ever from extreme weather 2. wildly overstating FFs' negative impact on weather. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
Myth 1: The world is experiencing unprecedented danger from extreme weather thanks to fossil fuels. Truth: The world is experiencing unprecedented *safety* from extreme weather thanks to FFs—because FFs' *climate mastery benefits* overwhelm any negative climate side-effects. https://t.co/JJuAIc6W2U — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein
25 myths about extreme weather, refuted With Hurricane Ian, the media have once again put forward the narrative that fossil fuels make extreme weather danger worse—and that fossil fuel supporters like @GovRonDesantis are to blame. Nothing could be further from the truth. 🧵👇 — PolitiTweet.org